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HomeMy WebLinkAboutFIN 14-21Report to Council Report Number: FIN 14-21 Date: September 27, 2021 From: Stan Karwowski Director, Finance & Treasurer Subject: 2020 Asset Management Plan - File: F-1200-001 Recommendation: 1.That the 2020 Asset Management Plan, set out in Attachment 1 to this report, be received for information; 2.That Council endorse, in principle, the use of the 2020 Asset Management Plan for financial planning purposes as it relates to the development of the Five Year financial plan; and 3.That the appropriate City of Pickering officials be authorized to take the necessary actions as indicated in this report. Executive Summary: The City is required to have an Asset Management Plan as per Ontario Regulation 588/17. Asset management is defined as: the coordinated activity of an organization to realize value from assets. It considers all asset types, and includes all activities involved in the asset’s life cycle from planning and acquisition/creation; to operational and maintenance activities, rehabilitation, and renewal; to replacement or disposal and any remaining liabilities. Asset management is comprehensive and normally involves balancing costs, risks, opportunities and performance benefits to achieve the total lowest lifecycle cost for each asset. Financial Implications: While there are no immediate identifiable financial implications associated with this report and the attached 2020 Asset Management Plan, in the long-term it will lead to changes in the annual budgeting process. This is a major change for all Ontario municipalities. Discussion: Asset management builds on the Public Sector Account Board (PSAB) standard PS 3150, which required municipal government to account and report on their Tangible Capital Assets (TCA), effective with fiscal years starting January 1, 2009. The City, through its annual financial statements, reports on its TCA through Note 10. Following the development of FIN 050 Accounting for Tangible Assets Policy, the City developed FIN 080 Strategic Asset Management Policy, the first requirement of the Ontario Regulation 588/17. The attached 2020 Asset Management Plan is the next requirement of the FIN 14-21 September 27, 2021 Subject: 2020 Asset Management Plan Page 2 regulation in the progression of asset management. With Council endorsing the Asset Management Plan, the City has met the obligations for July 1, 2022 under this Regulation and the document will be posted on the City’s website. Attachments: 1. 2020 Asset Management Plan 2. Infrastructure for Jobs and Prosperity Act, 2015, Ontario Regulation 588/17 Prepared By: Original Signed By: Julie Robertson Senior Financial Analyst Approved/Endorsed By: Original Signed By: Stan Karwowski Director, Finance & Treasurer Recommended for the consideration of Pickering City Council Original Signed By: Marisa Carpino, M.A. Chief Administrative Officer i ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN City of Pickering 2020 Asset Inventory Data is current as of December 31st, 2020 Annual Capital Funding includes the 2021 Capital Budget Reserve Balances are current as of December 31st, 2020 AAttachment #1 to Report #FIN 14-21h ii Empowering your organization through advanced asset management, budgeting & GIS solutions i Key Statistics Replacement cost of asset portfolio $1.36 billion Replacement cost of asset portfolio $498.3 million Replacement cost of asset portfolio $498.3 million Replacement cost of asset portfolio $498.3 million Replacement cost of asset portfolio $498.3 million Replacement cost of asset portfolio $498.3 million Replacement cost of Replacement cost of infrastructure per household $42,842 Replacement cost of infrastructure per household $26,500 (2016) Replacement cost of infrastructure per household $26,500 (2016) Replacement cost of infrastructure per household $26,500 (2016) Replacement cost of infrastructure per household $26,500 (2016) Replacement cost of infrastructure per household $26,500 (2016) Replacement cost of Percentage of assets in satisfactory or better condition 80.42% Percentage of assets in satisfactory or better condition 86.5% Percentage of assets in satisfactory or better condition 86.5% Percentage of assets in satisfactory or better condition 86.5% Percentage of assets in satisfactory or better condition 86.5% Percentage of assets with assessed condition data 46.49% Percentage of assets with assessed condition data 52.8% Percentage of assets with assessed condition data 52.8% Percentage of assets with assessed condition data 52.8% Percentage of assets with assessed condition data 52.8% Annual capital infrastructure deficit $24.5 million Annual capital infrastructure deficit $5 million Annual capital infrastructure deficit $5 million Annual capital infrastructure deficit Recommended timeframe for eliminating annual infrastructure deficit 15 Years Recommended timeframe for eliminating annual infrastructure deficit 10-15 Years Recommended timeframe for eliminating annual infrastructure deficit 10-15 Years Target reinvestment rate 2.96% Target reinvestment rate 2.13% Actual reinvestment rate 1.16% Actual reinvestment rate 1.12% i Executive Summary 1 1 Introduction & Context 5 1.1 An Overview of Asset Management 6 1.2 Key Concepts in Asset Management 8 1.3 Ontario Regulation 588/17 11 2 Scope and Methodology 13 2.1 Asset categories included in this AMP 14 2.2 Deriving Replacement Costs 14 2.3 Estimated Useful Life and Projected Service Life Remaining 15 2.4 Reinvestment Rate 15 2.5 Deriving Asset Condition 16 3 Portfolio Overview 17 3.1 Total Replacement Cost of Asset Portfolio 18 3.2 Target vs. Actual Reinvestment Rate 18 3.3 Condition of Asset Portfolio 19 3.4 Service Life Remaining 24 3.5 Forecasted Capital Requirements 24 4 Analysis of Tax-funded Assets 26 4.1 Road Corridor 27 4.2 Stormwater System 43 4.3 Bridges & Culverts 58 4.4 Buildings & Facilities 68 4.5 Parks 79 4.6 Other Infrastructure 91 5 Impacts of Growth 98 5.1 Description of Growth Assumptions 99 5.2 Impact of Growth on Lifecycle Activities 106 6 Financial Strategy 108 6.1 Financial Strategy Overview 109 6.2 Funding Objective 112 6.3 Financial Profile: Tax Funded Assets 113 6.4 Use of Debt 117 6.5 Use of Reserves 120 7 Appendices 122 Appendix A: 10-Year Capital Requirements 123 Appendix B: Level of Service Maps 128 Appendix C: Risk Rating Criteria 141 Appendix D: Condition Assessment Guidelines 143 Appendix E: Facility Condition Index 145 1 Executive Summary Municipal infrastructure supports the economic, social, and environmental health and growth of a community through the delivery of critical services. The goal of asset management is to deliver an adequate level of service in the most cost-effective manner. This involves the development and implementation of asset management strategies and long-term financial planning. Scope This asset management plan (AMP) identifies the current practices and strategies that are in place to manage public infrastructure and makes recommendations where they can be further refined. Through the implementation of sound asset management strategies, the City can ensure that public infrastructure is managed to support the sustainable delivery of municipal services. This AMP includes the following asset categories: Asset Categories Road Corridor Stormwater System Bridges & Culverts Buildings & Facilities Parks Other infrastructure 2 Purpose This AMP leverages the collaborative effort of all departments. Providing sustainable infrastructure service delivery requires a holistic approach, involving finance, engineering, and operations etc. Therefore, this AMP should be used as a guiding document for all departments. Findings The overall replacement cost of the asset categories included in this AMP totals $1.36 billion. 80.42% % of all assets analysed in this AMP are in satisfactory or better condition and assessed condition data was available for 46.49% of assets. For the remaining 53.51% of assets, assessed condition data was unavailable, and asset age was used to approximate condition – a data gap that persists in most municipalities. Generally, age misstates the true condition of assets, making assessments essential to accurate asset management planning, and a recurring recommendation in this AMP. The development of a long-term, sustainable financial plan requires an analysis of whole lifecycle costs. This AMP uses a combination of proactive lifecycle strategies (roads and stormwater wet ponds) and replacement only strategies (all other assets) to determine the lowest cost option to maintain the current level of service. To meet capital replacement and rehabilitation needs for existing infrastructure, prevent infrastructure backlogs, and achieve long-term sustainability, the City’s average annual capital requirement totals $40.27 million. Based on a historical analysis of sustainable capital funding sources, the City is committing approximately $15.75 million towards capital projects or reserves per year. As a result, there is currently an annual funding gap of $24.51 million. It is important to note that this AMP represents a snapshot in time and is based on the best available processes, data, and information at the City. Strategic asset management With the development of this AMP the municipality has achieved compliance with O. Reg. 588/17 to the extent of the requirements that must be completed by July 1, 202 2. There are additional requirements concerning current levels of service for all other capital assets and also proposed levels of service and growth that must be met by July 1, 202 4 and 2025. 3 planning is an ongoing and dynamic process that requires continuous improvement and dedicated resources. Recommendations A financial strategy was developed to address the annual capital funding gap. The following graphics shows annual tax/rate change required to eliminate the City’s infrastructure deficit based on a 15-year plan for tax-funded assets: Recommendations to guide continuous refinement of the City’s asset management program include the following: • Review data to update and maintain a complete and accurate dataset • Develop a condition assessment strategy with a regularly scheduled update and review process • Extension of the implementation of risk-based decision-making as part of asset management planning and budgeting to all departments. • Extension of the continuous review, development, and implementation of optimal lifecycle management strategies for all asset categories across departments. • Continue to develop and regularly review short- and long-term plans to meet capital requirements across departments. Tax-Funded ASSETS Average Annual Tax Change 1.8% Annual Capital Requirements per Household $1,298 4 • Measure current levels of service and identify sustainable proposed levels of service for all asset categories 5 Key Insights 1. Introduction & Context • The goal of asset management is to minimize the lifecycle costs of delivering infrastructure services, manage the associated risks, while maximizing the value tax and ratepayers receive from the asset portfolio • The City’s asset management policy provides clear direction to staff on their roles and responsibilities regarding asset management • An asset management plan is a living document that should be updated regularly to inform long-term planning • Ontario Regulation 588/17 outlines several key milestones and requirements for asset management plans in Ontario between July 1, 2022 and 2025 6 1.1 An Overview of Asset Management Municipalities are responsible for managing and maintaining a broad portfolio of infrastructure assets to deliver services to the community. The goal of asset management is to minimize the lifecycle costs of delivering infrastructure services, manage the associated risks, while maximizing the value ratepayers receive from the asset portfolio. The acquisition or construction of capital assets accounts for only 10-20% of their total cost of ownership. The remaining 80-90% derives from operations and maintenance. This AMP focuses its analysis on the capital costs to maintain, rehabilitate, and replace existing municipal infrastructure assets. These costs can span decades, requiring planning and foresight to ensure financial responsibility is spread equitably across generations. An asset management plan is critical to this planning, and an essential element of a broader asset management program. The industry-standard approach and sequence to developing a practical asset management program begins with a Strategic Plan, followed by an Asset Management Policy and an Asset Management Strategy, concluding with an Asset Management Plan. This industry standard, defined by the Institute of Asset Management (IAM), emphasizes the alignment between the corporate strategic plan and various asset management documents. The strategic plan has a direct, and cascading impact on asset management planning and reporting. Build 20% Operate, Maintain, and Dispose 80% Total Cost of Ownership 7 1.1.1 Asset Management Policy An asset management policy represents a statement of the principles guiding the municipality’s approach to asset management activities. It aligns with the organizational strategic plan and provides clear direction to municipal staff on their roles and responsibilities as part of the asset management program. The City adopted Policy No. FIN 080 “Strategic Asset Management Policy” on June 25, 2018, in accordance with Ontario Regulation 588/17. The purpose of the policy is to provide a framework for implementing asset management to enable a strategic approach at all levels of the organization. As outlined in the policy, the City seeks to leverage the lowest total lifecycle cost of ownership with regard to the service levels that best meet the needs of the community while being cognizant of the risk of failure that is acceptable. 1.1.2 Asset Management Strategy An asset management strategy outlines the translation of organizational objectives into asset management objectives and provides a strategic overview of the activities required to meet these objectives. It provides greater detail than the policy on how the municipality plans to achieve asset management objectives through planned activities and decision-making criteria. The City’s Asset Management Policy contains many of the key components of an asset management strategy and may be expanded on in future revisions or as part of a separate strategic document. 1.1.3 Asset Management Plan The asset management plan (AMP) presents the outcomes of the municipality’s asset management program and identifies the resource requirements needed to achieve a defined level of service. The AMP typically includes the following content: • State of Infrastructure • Asset Management Strategies • Levels of Service • Financial Strategies The AMP is a living document that should be updated regularly as additional asset and financial data becomes available. This will allow the municipality to re-evaluate the state 8 of infrastructure and identify how the organization’s asset management and financial strategies are progressing. 1.2 Key Concepts in Asset Management Effective asset management integrates several key components, including lifecycle management, risk management, and levels of service. These concepts are applied throughout this asset management plan and are described below in greater detail. 1.2.1 Lifecycle Management Strategies The condition or performance of most assets will deteriorate over time. This process is affected by a range of factors including an asset’s characteristics, location, utilization, maintenance history and environment. Asset deterioration has a negative effect on the ability of an asset to fulfill its intended function, and may be characterized by increased cost, risk and even service disruption. To ensure that municipal assets are performing as expected and meeting the needs of customers, it is important to establish a lifecycle management strategy to proactively manage asset deterioration. There are several field intervention activities that are available to extend the life of an asset. These activities can generally fall within the categories of maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement. The following table provides a description of each type of activity and the general difference in cost. Lifecycle Activity Description Example (Roads) Cost Maintenance Activities that prevent defects or deteriorations from occurring Crack Seal $ Rehabilitation/ Renewal Activities that rectify defects or deficiencies that are already present and may be affecting asset performance Mill & Re- surface $$ Replacement/ Reconstruction Asset end-of-life activities that often involve the complete replacement of assets Full Reconstruction $$$ Depending on initial lifecycle management strategies, asset performance can be sustained through a combination of maintenance and rehabilitation, but at some point, replacement is required. Understanding what effect these activities will have on the lifecycle of an asset, and their cost, will enable staff to make better recommendations. 9 The City’s approach to lifecycle management is described within each asset category outlined in this AMP. Developing and implementing a proactive lifecycle strategy will help staff to determine which activities to perform on an asset and when they should be performed to maximize useful life at the lowest total cost of ownership. 1.2.2 Risk Management Strategies Municipalities generally take a ‘worst-first’ approach to infrastructure spending. Rather than prioritizing assets based on their importance to service delivery, assets in the worst condition are fixed first, regardless of their criticality. However, not all assets are created equal. Some are more important than others, and their failure or disrepair poses more risk to the community than that of others. For example, a road with a high volume of traffic that provides access to critical services poses a higher risk than a low volume rural road. These high-value assets should receive funding before others. By identifying the various impacts of asset failure and the likelihood that it will fail, risk management strategies can identify critical assets, and determine where maintenance efforts, and spending, should be focused. This AMP includes a high-level evaluation of asset risk and criticality. Each asset has been assigned a probability of failure score and consequence of failure score based on available asset data. These risk scores can be used to prioritize maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement strategies for critical assets. 1.2.3 Levels of Service (LOS) A level of service (LOS) is a measure of what the City is providing to the community and the nature and quality of that service. Within each asset category in this AMP, technical metrics and qualitative descriptions that measure both technical and community levels of service have been established and measured as data is available. These measures include a combination of those that have been outlined in O. Reg. 588/17 in addition to performance measures identified by the City as worth measuring and evaluating. The City measures the level of service provided at two levels: Community Levels of Service, and Technical Levels of Service. Community Levels of Service Community levels of service are a simple, plain language description or measure of the service that the community receives. For core asset categories (Road Corridor, Bridges 10 & Culverts, and Stormwater System) the Province, through O. Reg. 588/17, has provided qualitative descriptions that are required to be included in this AMP. Technical Levels of Service Technical levels of service are a measure of key technical attributes of the service being provided to the community. These include mostly quantitative measures and tend to reflect the impact of the municipality’s asset management strategies on the physical condition of assets or the quality/capacity of the services they provide. For core asset categories (Road Corridor, Bridges & Culverts, and Stormwater System) the Province, through O. Reg. 588/17, has provided technical metrics that are required to be included in this AMP. Current and Proposed Levels of Service This AMP focuses on measuring the current level of service provided to the community. Once current levels of service have been measured, the City plans to establish proposed levels of service over a 10-year period, in accordance with O. Reg. 588/17. Proposed levels of service should be realistic and achievable within the timeframe outlined by the City. They should also be determined with consideration of a variety of community expectations, fiscal capacity, regulatory requirements, corporate goals, and long-term sustainability. Once proposed levels of service have been established, and prior to July 2025, the City must identify a lifecycle management and financial strategy which allows these targets to be achieved. 11 1.3 Ontario Regulation 588/17 As part of the Infrastructure for Jobs and Prosperity Act, 2015, the Ontario government introduced Regulation 588/17 - Asset Management Planning for Municipal Infrastructure (O. Reg 588/17). Along with creating better performing organizations, more liveable and sustainable communities, the regulation is a key, mandated driver of asset management planning and reporting. It places substantial emphasis on current and proposed levels of service and the lifecycle costs incurred in delivering them. The diagram below outlines key reporting requirements under O. Reg 588/17 and the associated timelines. 2019 2022 2024 2025 Strategic Asset Management Policy Asset Management Plan for Core Assets with the following components: 1.Current levels of service 2.Inventory analysis 3.Lifecycle activities to sustain LOS 4.Cost of lifecycle activities 5.Population and employment forecasts 6.Discussion of growth impacts Asset Management Policy Update and an Asset Management Plan for All Assets with the following additional components: 1.Proposed levels of service for next 10 years 2.Updated inventory analysis 3.Lifecycle management strategy 4.Financial strategy and addressing shortfalls 5.Discussion of how growth assumptions impacted lifecycle and financial Asset Management Plan for Core and Non-Core Assets 12 1.3.1 O. Reg. 588/17 Compliance Review The following table identifies the requirements outlined in O. Reg 588/17for municipalities to meet by July 1, 2022, for core assets only. Next to each requirement a page or section reference is included in addition to any necessary commentary. Requirement O. Reg. Section AMP Section Reference Status Summary of assets in each category S.5(2), 3(i)4.1.1 - 4.6.1 Complete Replacement cost of assets in each category S.5(2), 3(ii)4.1.1 - 4.6.1 Complete Average age of assets in each category S.5(2), 3(iii)4.1.3 - 4.6.3 Complete Condition of core assets in each category S.5(2), 3(iv)4.1.2 – 4.6.2 Complete Description of municipality’s approach to assessing the condition of assets in each category S.5(2), 3(v)4.1.2 – 4.6.2 Complete Current levels of service in each category S.5(2), 1(i-ii)4.1.6 - 5.6.6 Complete Current performance measures in each category S.5(2), 2 4.1.6 - 5.6.6 Complete Lifecycle activities needed to maintain current levels of service for 10 years S.5(2), 4 4.1.4 - 4.6.4 Complete Costs of providing lifecycle activities for 10 years S.5(2), 4 Appendix A Complete Growth assumptions S.5(2), 5(i-ii) S.5(2), 6(i-vi)5.1-5.2 Complete Furthermore, The City of Pickering has also met most of the requirements mentioned above for its non-core assets as well in this AMP, which makes the City on the right track for compliance with the O. Reg 588/17 for municipalities to meet by July 1, 2024. The City still needs to define the current levels of service for its Other Infrastructure Category of this AMP to meet the full compliance of the 2024 O. Reg 588/17 requirements. 13 Key Insights 2 Scope and Methodology • This asset management plan includes 6 asset categories that fall under the tax- funded category • The source and recency of replacement costs impacts the accuracy and reliability of asset portfolio valuation • Accurate and reliable condition data helps to prevent premature and costly rehabilitation or replacement and ensures that lifecycle activities occur at the right time to maximize asset value and useful life 14 2.1 Asset categories included in this AMP This AMP for the City of Pickering is produced in compliance with Ontario Regulation 588/17. The July 2022 deadline under the regulation—the first of three AMP deadlines— requires analysis of only core assets (roads, bridges & culverts, and stormwater). However, the City of Pickering has included all assets categories in this AMP, thereby covering all regulations for the July 2022 and July 2024 deadlines. The AMP summarizes the state of the infrastructure for the City’s asset portfolio, establishes current levels of service and the associated technical and customer oriented key performance indicators (kpis), outlines lifecycle strategies for optimal asset management and performance, and provides financial strategies to reach sustainability for the asset categories listed below. Asset Category Source of Funding Road Corridor Tax-Funded Assets Stormwater System Tax-Funded Assets Bridges & Culverts Tax-Funded Assets Buildings & Facilities Tax-Funded Assets Parks Tax-Funded Assets Other Infrastructure Tax-Funded Assets 2.2 Deriving Replacement Costs There are a range of methods to determine the replacement cost of an asset, and some are more accurate and reliable than others. This AMP relies on two methodologies: User-Defined Cost and Cost/Unit: Based on costs provided by municipal staff which could include average costs from recent contracts; data from engineering reports and assessments; software solutions linked to industry-standard costing databases; staff estimates based on knowledge and experience Cost Inflation/CPI Tables: Historical cost of the asset is inflated based on Consumer Price Index or Non-Residential Building Construction Price Index User-defined costs based on reliable sources are a reasonably accurate and reliable way to determine asset replacement costs. Cost inflation is typically used in the absence of reliable replacement cost data. It is a reliable method for recently purchased and/or constructed assets where the total cost is reflective of the actual costs that the City incurred. As assets age, and new products and technologies become available, cost inflation becomes a less reliable method. 15 2.3 Estimated Useful Life and Projected Service Life Remaining The estimated useful life (EUL) of an asset is the period over which the City expects the asset to be available for use and remain in service before requiring replacement or disposal. The EUL for each asset in this AMP was assigned according to the knowledge and expertise of municipal staff and supplemented by existing industry standards when necessary. By using an asset’s in-service data and its EUL, the City can determine the projected service life remaining (PSLR) for each asset. Using condition data and the asset’s PSLR, the City can more accurately forecast when it will require replacement. The PSLR is calculated as follows: 𝑃𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑐𝑐𝑙𝑐𝑐 𝑅𝑐𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑐𝑐 𝐿𝑖𝑐𝑐 𝑅𝑐𝑙𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑙𝑐 (𝑃𝑅𝐿𝑅)=𝐼𝑙 𝑅𝑐𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑐𝑐 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑐+𝐶𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑐 𝑅𝑙𝑐𝑐𝑙𝑙 𝐿𝑖𝑐𝑐(𝐶𝑅𝐿)−𝐶𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑙 𝑌𝑐𝑎𝑙 2.4 Reinvestment Rate As assets age and deteriorate they require additional investment to maintain a state of good repair. The reinvestment of capital funds, through asset renewal or replacement, is necessary to sustain an adequate level of service. The reinvestment rate is a measurement of available or required funding relative to the total replacement cost. By comparing the actual vs. Target reinvestment rate the City can determine the extent of any existing funding gap. The reinvestment rate is calculated as follows: 𝑅𝑎𝑙𝑐𝑐𝑙 𝑅𝑐𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑙 𝑅𝑎𝑙𝑐=𝐴𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑐𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑙 𝑅𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑐𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑙 𝐶𝑙𝑙𝑙 𝐴𝑐𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑐𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑙 𝑅𝑎𝑙𝑐=𝐴𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑎𝑙𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑙𝑙𝑐𝑖𝑙𝑐 𝑅𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑐𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑐𝑐𝑙𝑐𝑙𝑙 𝐶𝑙𝑙𝑙 16 2.5 Deriving Asset Condition An incomplete or limited understanding of asset condition can mislead long-term planning and decision-making. Accurate and reliable condition data helps to prevent premature and costly rehabilitation or replacement and ensures that lifecycle activities occur at the right time to maximize asset value and useful life. A condition assessment rating system provides a standardized descriptive framework that allows comparative benchmarking across the City’s asset portfolio. The table below outlines an example of the condition rating system used in this AMP to determine asset condition. This rating system is aligned with the Canadian Core Public Infrastructure Survey which is used to develop the Canadian Infrastructure Report Card. When assessed condition data is not available, service life remaining is used to approximate asset condition. The City has some asset condition ratings that are aligned with the Canadian Infrastructure Report Card condition rating system. However, for some assets such as roads and bridges, a different rating criterion that better suit each of these assets’ deterioration profiles were adopted. Condition Description Criteria Projected Service Life Remaining (%) Very Good Fit for the future Well maintained, good condition, new or recently rehabilitated 80-100 Good Adequate for now Acceptable, generally approaching mid-stage of expected service life 60-80 Satisfactory Requires attention Signs of deterioration, some elements exhibit significant deficiencies 40-60 Below Satisfactory Increasing potential of affecting service Approaching end of service life, condition below standard, large portion of system exhibits significant deterioration 20-40 Needs Substantial Improvement Unfit for sustained service Near or beyond expected service life, widespread signs of advanced deterioration, some assets may be unusable 0-20 The analysis in this AMP is based on assessed condition data only as available. In the absence of assessed condition data, asset age is used as a proxy to determine asset condition. Appendix D includes additional information on the role of asset condition data and provides basic guidelines for the development of a condition assessment program. 17 Key Insights 3 Portfolio Overview • The total replacement cost of the City’s asset portfolio is $1.36 billion • The City’s target re-investment rate is 2.96%, and the actual re-investment rate is 1.16%, contributing to an expanding infrastructure deficit • 80.42% of all assets are in satisfactory or better condition • 25.94% of assets are projected to require replacement in the next 10 years • Average annual capital requirements total $40.27 million per year across all assets 18 3.1 Total Replacement Cost of Asset Portfolio The asset categories analysed in this AMP have a total replacement cost of $1.36 billion based on inventory data from 2020. This total was determined based on a combination of user-defined costs and historical cost inflation. This estimate reflects replacement of historical assets with similar, not necessarily identical, assets available for procurement today. 3.2 Target vs. Actual Reinvestment Rate The graph below depicts funding gaps or surpluses by comparing target vs actual reinvestment rate. To meet the long-term replacement needs, the City should be allocating approximately $40.27 million annually, for a target reinvestment rate of 2.96%. Actual annual spending on infrastructure totals approximately $15.75 million, for an actual reinvestment rate of 1.16%. It is worth noting that any surplus in budget for Bridges and Culverts gets transferred to Road Corridor. 19 3.3 Condition of Asset Portfolio The current condition of existing assets is central to all asset management planning. Collectively, 80.42% of assets in Pickering are in satisfactory or better condition. This estimate relies on age-based, field condition data, and staff assessments. Staff assessments were used whenever possible as they provide a more precise condition estimate than age-base assessments. Staff leveraged their knowledge and experience with maintenance related and operational issues to enhance the level of accuracy of age-based conditions. This AMP relies on assessed condition data for 46.39% of assets; for the remaining portfolio, age is used as an approximation of condition. Assessed condition data is invaluable in asset management planning as it reflects the true condition of the asset 20 and its ability to perform its functions. The table below identifies the source of condition data used throughout this AMP. 21 Asset Category Asset Segment Asset Sub- segment % of Assets with Assessed Condition Source of Condition Data Road Corridor Roads Arterial 62% Assessed, 38% Age-based R.J. Burnside & Associates Limited - 2016 Road Corridor Roads Collector 80% Assessed, 20% Age-based R.J. Burnside & Associates Limited - 2016 Road Corridor Roads Local 89% Assessed, 11% Age-based R.J. Burnside & Associates Limited - 2016 Road Corridor Roadside Appuretances Broadband 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Road Corridor Roadside Appuretances Guide Rails 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Road Corridor Roadside Appuretances Retaining Walls 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Road Corridor Sidewalks Sidewalks 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Road Corridor Street Lights Head Luminaires 83% Assessed, 17% Age-based Staff Assessments Road Corridor Street Lights Poles & Assemblies 93% Assessed, 7% Age-based Staff Assessments Road Corridor Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Controllers 86% Assessed, 14% Age-based Staff Assessments Road Corridor Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Infrastructure 88% Assessed, 12% Age-based Staff Assessments Stormwater System Drainage Channels Drainage Channels 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Stormwater System Storm Sewers Catch Basin and Lead 88% Assessed, 12% Age-based Staff Assessments Stormwater System Storm Sewers Clean Water Collectors 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Stormwater System Storm Sewers Inlet/Outlet Structures 0% Assessed 100% Age-based 22 Asset Category Asset Segment Asset Sub- segment % of Assets with Assessed Condition Source of Condition Data Stormwater System Storm Sewers Oil Grit Separators 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Stormwater System Storm Sewers Service Connections 93% Assessed, 7% Age-based Staff Assessments Stormwater System Storm Sewers Storm Sewer Mains 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Stormwater System Stormwater Ponds Dry Ponds 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Stormwater System Stormwater Ponds Wet Ponds 64% Assessed, 36% Age-based Staff Assessments Bridges & Culverts Bridges Bridges 100% Assessed 2020 OSIM Inspections Bridges & Culverts Structural Culverts Structural Culverts 99% Assessed 2020 OSIM Inspections Buildings & Facilities Civic Complex Civic Complex 100% Assessed VFA Database Buildings & Facilities Community & Cultural Buildings Community & Cultural Buildings 100% Assessed VFA Database Buildings & Facilities Fire Services Fire Services 100% Assessed VFA Database Buildings & Facilities Operations Centre Operations Centre 100% Assessed VFA Database Buildings & Facilities Recreation, Pools & Arenas Recreation, Pools & Arenas 100% Assessed VFA Database Parks Active Recreation Facilities Playground Equipment 100% Assessed Staff Assessments Parks Active Recreation Facilities Sport Playing Surfaces 100% Assessed Staff Assessments Parks Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Buildings 100% Assessed Staff Assessments Parks Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Electrical/Lighting 100% Assessed Staff Assessments 23 Asset Category Asset Segment Asset Sub- segment % of Assets with Assessed Condition Source of Condition Data Parks Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Furniture 100% Assessed Staff Assessments Parks Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Structures Site Structures Staff Assessments Parks Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Subsurface Infrastructure 100% Assessed Staff Assessments Parks Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Waterfront Infrastructure 100% Assessed Staff Assessments Parks Vehicular & Pedestrian Networks Parking Lots & Internal Roads 100% Assessed Staff Assessments Parks Vehicular & Pedestrian Networks Pedestrian Corridors 100% Assessed Staff Assessments Other Infrastructure Furniture & Fixtures Furniture & Fixtures 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Other Infrastructure Information Technology Information Technology 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Other Infrastructure Library Collection Materials Library Collection Materials 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Other Infrastructure Machinery & Equipment Major 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Other Infrastructure Machinery & Equipment Minor 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Other Infrastructure Vehicles Fire Vehicles 0% Assessed 100% Age-based Other Infrastructure Vehicles Vehicles 0% Assessed 100% Age-based 24 3.4 Service Life Remaining Based on asset age, available assessed condition data and estimated useful life, 25.94% of the City’s assets will require replacement within the next 10 years. Capital requirements over the next 10 years are identified in Appendix A. Buildings & Facilities assets were excluded from this analysis due to the nature of the assets. Building and Facilities have multiple components that have a very short service life. However, the building themselves are long-lasting. 3.5 Forecasted Capital Requirements The development of a long-term capital forecast should include both asset rehabilitation and replacement requirements. With the development of asset-specific lifecycle strategies that include the timing and cost of future capital events, the City can produce an accurate long-term capital forecast. The following graph identifies capital requirements over the next 25 years. It is worth noting that the Average Annual Capital Requirements are equal to the sum of the annualized lifecycle costs of all assets. The annualized lifecycle cost is calculated by dividing the total lifecycle cost of the asset by its respective estimated useful life. 25 26 Key Insights 4 Analysis of Tax-funded Assets •Tax-funded assets are valued at $1.36 billion •80.42% of tax-funded assets are in satisfactory or better condition •The average annual capital requirement to sustain the current level of service for tax-funded assets is approximately $40.27 million •Critical assets should be evaluated to determine appropriate risk mitigation activities and treatment options 27 4.1 Road Corridor The Road Corridor are critical components of the provision of safe and efficient transportation services and represent the highest value asset category in the City’s asset portfolio. It includes all municipally owned and maintained roadways in addition to supporting roadside infrastructure including sidewalks, streetlights, traffic signals, guiderails, and retaining walls. The Operations Department provides roadway operational maintenance including, patching, grading, sweeping, ditching as well as winter control activities such as sanding, salting, and plowing. The Engineering Department is responsible for the design and construction of major roadway maintenance and rehabilitation activities such as crack seal, asphalt resurfacing, curb and sidewalk repair/replacement, and reconstruction. They are also responsible for the maintenance and repair of streetlights, traffic signals, and guide rails. Staff are working towards improving the accuracy and reliability of their Road Corridor inventory to assist with long-term asset management planning. 4.1.1 Asset Inventory & Replacement Cost The table below includes the quantity, replacement cost method and total replacement cost of each asset segment in the City’s Road Corridor inventory. Asset Segment Sub-Segment Quantity 1 Unit of Measure Replacement Cost Method Replacement Cost Roads Arterial 13 Centreline KM 100% Cost per Unit $17,810,198 Roads Collector 37 Centreline KM 100% Cost per Unit $52,612,912 Roads Local 268 Centreline KM 100% Cost per Unit $365,537,102 Roads Gravel 102 Centreline KM Not planned for replacement Not planned for replacement 1 The level of maturity of the asset quantity data is still at a basic level. Staff plan to prioritize data refinement and consolidation efforts to increase confidence in the accuracy and reliability of asset data and information. 28 Asset Segment Sub-Segment Quantity Unit of Measure Replacement Cost Method Replacement Cost Roadside Appurtenances Broadband 1 KM 100% CPI Inflation $143,175 Roadside Appurtenances Guide Rails 746 M 100% CPI Inflation $774,280 Roadside Appurtenances Retaining Walls 529 M 100% CPI Inflation $868,766 Sidewalks Sidewalks 331 KM 99% Cost per Unit, 1% CPI Inflation $96,784,783 Streetlights LED Lights 8,295 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation $7,151,314 Streetlights Poles & Assemblies 8,101 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation $56,943,137 Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Controllers 25 Intersection 100% CPI Inflation $691,198 Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Infrastructure 25 Intersection 100% CPI Inflation $3,253,735 $602,570,600 29 4.1.2 Asset Condition The table below identifies the current average condition and source of available condition data for each asset segment. The Average Condition Rating is a weighted value based on replacement cost. Asset Segment Sub- Segment Average Condition (%) Average Condition Rating Condition Source Roads Arterial 75% Good 62% Assessed, 38% Age- based Roads Collector 72% Good 80% Assessed, 20% Age- based Roads Local 63% Good 89% Assessed, 11% Age- based Roadside Appurtenances Broadband 95%2 Very Good 100% Age-based Roadside Appurtenances Guide Rails 84%2 Good 100% Age-based Roadside Appurtenances Retaining Walls 75%2 Good 100% Age-based Sidewalks Sidewalks 65% Good 100% Age-based Streetlights Head Luminaires 86% Very Good 83% Assessed, 17% Age- based3 Streetlights Poles & Assemblies 56% Satisfactory 93% Assessed, 7% Age- based3 2 Currently, the average condition reflects the condition of all assets that are available in the City’s central inventory. City staff are working to consolidate asset information associated with Roadside Appurtenances in the central database. Once completed, the average condition will be more accurate and reflective of the whole asset portfolio. 3 A desktop assessment was completed by City staff. The results of the assessment were used along with Age-based ratings to calculate the average condition of assets. Desktop assessment ratings were given a weight of 90% compared to 10% for the age-based rating when performing the final condition calculation for Head Luminaires. For Poles & Assemblies, the desktop assessments were given a weight of 55% compared to 45% for the age-based rating when performing the final condition calculation. Age-based conditions were solely used when desktop assessments were not performed. 30 Asset Segment Sub-Segment Average Condition (%) Average Condition Rating Condition Source Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Controllers 75% Good 86% Assessed, 14% Age- based4 Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Infrastructure 67% Good 88% Assessed, 12% Age- based4 64% Good To ensure that the City’s Road Corridor continue to provide an acceptable level of service, the City should monitor the average condition of all assets. If the average condition declines, staff should re-evaluate their lifecycle management strategy to determine what combination of maintenance, rehabilitation and replacement activities is required to increase the overall condition of Road Corridor. Current Approach to Condition Assessment 4 A desktop assessment was completed by City staff. The results of the assessment were used along with Age-based ratings to calculate the average condition of assets. Desktop assessment ratings were given a weight of 75% compared to 25% for the age-based rating when performing the final condition calculation for Controllers. For Infrastructure, the desktop assessments were given a weight of 65% compared to 35% for the age-based rating when performing the final condition calculation. Age-based conditions were solely used when desktop assessments were not performed. 31 Accurate and reliable condition data allows staff to more confidently determine the remaining service life of assets and identify the most cost-effective approach to managing assets. The following describes the municipality’s current approach: The City’s entire road network is assessed by an external contractor. The last Road Needs Study was completed in 2016 based on assessments made in 2011.A road condition assessment update is planned for 2021. The Road Needs Study includes a Pavement Condition Index (PCI) rating for all paved roads. The 1-100 value is a measure of the surface condition of the roads and is based on a formula that takes into account surface distresses and ride comfort. The Road Needs Study also includes another measure, a Priority Guide Number (PGN). The PGN is established using the older Ministry of Transportation of Ontario (MTO) methodology, however, the PGN does provide a relative comparison of the priority of the roads for improvement, based on condition, traffic, and improvement costs. Therefore, the PGN ranking can be considered as one of the comparison factors for consideration in setting capital programs. As a supplement to the comprehensive network-wide assessments, City staff complete regular inspections annually and re-prioritize capital works and maintenance activities as necessary. • The City utilizes desktop assessments along with age-based assessments to estimate the condition of streetlights. • For traffic & pedestrian signals, the City contracts the services of Durham Region (The Works Department's Traffic Engineering and Operations Division handles Durham's traffic control signals by planning, designing, constructing, operating, and maintaining the traffic control systems). They use an internal asset management system to effectively manage the City’s traffic signals infrastructure. 4.1.3 Estimated Useful Life & Average Age The Estimated Useful Life for Road Corridor has been assigned according to a combination of established industry standards and staff knowledge. The Average Age of each asset is based on the number of years each asset has been in-service. Finally, the Average Projected Service Life Remaining represents the difference between the Estimated Useful Life and the Average Age, except when an asset has been assigned an assessed condition rating. Assessed condition may increase or decrease the average service life remaining. 32 Asset Segment Sub- Segment Estimated Useful Life (Years) Average Age (Years) Average Projected Service Life Remaining (Years) Roads Arterial ≤50 18.0 17.1 Roads Collector ≤50 23.3 14.4 Roads Local ≤50 32.9 12.7 Roadside Appurtenances Broadband ≤30 1.5 28.4 Roadside Appurtenances Guide Rails ≤40 6.3 33.7 Roadside Appurtenances Retaining Walls ≤40 7.5 32.5 Sidewalks Sidewalks ≤75 30.6 34.1 Streetlights Head Luminaires ≤20 4.0 6.3 Streetlights Poles & Assemblies ≤50 5.0 32.8 Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Controllers ≤13 9.9 6.8 Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Infrastructure ≤25 12.8 13.1 27.7 21.8 33 Each asset’s Estimated Useful Life should be reviewed periodically to determine whether adjustments need to be made to better align with the observed length of service life for each asset type. 34 4.1.4 Lifecycle Management Strategy The condition or performance of most assets will deteriorate over time. This process is affected by a range of factors including an asset’s characteristics, location, utilization, maintenance history and environment. The following lifecycle strategies have been developed as a proactive approach to managing the lifecycle of hard-surfaced (asphalted) rural and urban roads. Instead of allowing the roads to deteriorate until replacement is required, strategic rehabilitation is expected to extend the service life of roads at a lower total cost. Lifecycle management strategies were not developed for other road types5 within the City. Asphalt Roads (Surface) Event Name Event Class Event Trigger Crack Seal # 1 Preventative Maintenance Year: 6 Crack Seal # 2 Preventative Maintenance Year: 12 New Surface – Single Lift Rehabilitation Year: 20 Crack Seal # 3 Preventative Maintenance Year: 26 Crack Seal # 4 Preventative Maintenance Year: 32 New Surface – Double Lift Rehabilitation Year: 40 Crack Seal # 5 Preventative Maintenance Year: 46 Crack Seal # 6 Preventative Maintenance Year: 52 Asset Replacement Replacement Condition: 30 The first and second crack seal treatments applied in years 6 and 12 reset the condition to 88 and 73 respectively. These preventative maintenance activities are then followed by a new surface – single lift rehabilitation in year 20, which restores the condition back to 90. 5 The City only owns and operates 500m of concrete roads (old gravel pit). Once this road reaches its end of service life, it will be replaced with asphalt. Gravel roads have low AADT and are inspected regularly. Grading is an important part of rural road maintenance and involves reshaping the roads. Public Works replaces gravel that has been either pushed off the road during winter operations and/or swept away during the spring thaw. While the City owns and operates some roads that are surfaced treated, there is no official maintenance program for this type of road. 35 Furthermore, the third and fourth crack seal treatments applied in years 26 and 32 reset the condition to 76 and 58 respectively. These preventative maintenance activities are then followed by a new surface – double lift rehabilitation in year 38, which restores the condition back to 80. Finally, the fifth and sixth crack seal treatments applied in years 46 and 52 reset the condition to 46 and 52 respectively. Then, the asset is used until the end of its Lifecycle, which is reached when the condition of the asset drops to 30. The aforementioned lifecycle activities manage to extend the estimated useful life of the asset from 25 to 54 years as seen below. 36 The following table further expands on the City’s current approach to lifecycle management: Activity Type Description of Current Strategy Maintenance The City employs preventative maintenance programs to minimize the destructive impact of climate and traffic through the timely application of remedial treatments to the pavement. Maintenance Asphalt Roads – crack sealing/filling and spot base repairs (small area patching) Surface Treatment Roads – small area patching and drainage improvements Rehabilitation/ Replacement The most cost-effective expenditures for road rehabilitation can be achieved through the application of the right rehabilitation at the right time. This decision-making process relies primarily on the condition of the road surface. Rehabilitation/ Replacement The city’s current road rehabilitation methods include: • Grind and Overlay • Full depth surface replacement • Full reconstruction Rehabilitation/ Replacement Full road reconstruction may be required when substantial base repairs are necessary or when sub-surface infrastructure also requires replacement. Rehabilitation/ Replacement The City develops a 5-year capital forecast which includes a mix of named reconstruction projects and general budget allocations for road resurfacing projects. Forecasted Capital Requirements Based on the lifecycle strategies identified previously for roads, and assuming the end- of-life replacement of all other assets in this category, the following graph forecasts capital requirements for the Road Corridor. The annual capital requirement represents the average amount per year that the City should allocate towards funding rehabilitation and replacement needs to meet future capital needs. 37 The projected cost of lifecycle activities that will need to be undertaken over the next 10 years to maintain the current level of service can be found in Appendix A. 4.1.5 Risk & Criticality Risk Matrix The following risk matrix provides a visual representation of the level of risk exposure for this asset category. It considers both the probability of failure and consequence of failure. • Assets that fall in the uper right quadrant require immediate action as they have high chances of failure and major consequences associated to their failure. • Assets that fall in the lower right quadrant require monitoring and predictive analysis of failure as they have high chances of failure with minor to moderate consequences associated to their failure, which may be tolerable by the City. • Assets that fall in the upper left quadrant require proactive maintenance to keep their probability of failure low to moderate since they have moderate to high consequences associated to their failure. • The assets that fall in the lower left quadrant have a low to moderate probability and low to moderate consequences of failure. Therefore, they require usual routine monitoring The metrics that have been used to determine both can be found in Appendix C. 38 Risks to Current Asset Management Strategies The following section summarizes key trends, challenges, and risks to service delivery that the City is currently facing: Asset Data & Information The level of maturity is at a basic level for the available inventory data for Road Corridor used in this Asset Management Plan. Staff plan to prioritize data refinement and consolidation efforts to increase confidence in the accuracy and reliability of asset data and information. Once completed there will be greater confidence in the development of data-driven strategies to address infrastructure needs. Climate Change & Extreme Weather Events An increase in rain causes impact to the road base, leading to the exposure of the road base. The design of the Stormwater System is the primary consideration instead of the roadway design itself. Lifecycle Management Strategies The current lifecycle management strategy for roads is considered more reactive than proactive. The goal for the City is to defer the needs for road reconstruction as it is costly and disruptive. Some potential additional programs are being considered: 39 • Single lift re-surfacing completed in the 10–15-year mark to push off double lift requirements another 20 years 4.1.6 Levels of Service (LOS) The following tables identify the City’s current level of service for the Road Network. These metrics include the technical and community level of service metrics that are required as part of O. Reg. 588/17 as well as any additional performance measures that the City has selected for this AMP. Community Levels of Service The following table outlines the qualitative descriptions that determine the community levels of service provided by the Road Corridor. Service Attribute Qualitative Description Current LOS (2020) Scope Description, which may include maps, of the Road Corridor in the municipality and its level of connectivity See Appendix B Quality Description or images that illustrate the different levels of road class pavement condition The Pavement Condition Index (PCI) is a measure of the surface condition of the road based on empirical formula that take into account surface distresses and ride comfort resulting in a rating between 1 and 100. The assessment is detailed and allows for future monitoring and comparisons A Priority Guide Number (PGN) provides a relative comparison of the priority of the roads for improvement, based on condition, traffic, and improvement costs. 40 Technical Levels of Service The following table outlines the quantitative metrics that determine the technical level of service provided by the Road Corridor. Service Attribute Technical Metric Current LOS (2020) Scope Lane-km of arterial roads (MMS classes 1 and 2) per land area (km/km2) 0.24 Scope Lane-km of collector roads (MMS classes 3 and 4) per land area (km/km2) 0.66 Scope Lane-km of local roads (MMS classes 5 and 6) per land area (km/km2) 3.35 Quality Average pavement condition index for paved roads in the municipality 60.63 Quality Average surface condition for unpaved roads in the municipality (e.g., excellent, good, satisfactory, Below Satisfactory) Satisfactory Performance Capital reinvestment rate 0.86% Performance Operating & Maintenance costs for paved roads / lane-km (excluding winter control) $5,395.70 Performance Operating & Maintenance costs for unpaved roads / lane-km (excluding winter control) $6,751.79 Performance % of sidewalks inspected 100% Performance % of road network inspected 100% Performance #/year of reported incidents related to the sidewalk network 17 41 4.1.7 Recommendations Asset Inventory • Continue to review and refine the Road Corridor inventory to ensure that it aligns with the City’s database and that new assets and betterments are reflected and attributes are detailed. Condition Assessment Strategies • A comprehensive assessment of the road network was completed in 2016 and there are plans to conduct a network-wide road condition assessment in 2021 and every 5 to 10 years. Prioritize regular cursory inspections in between comprehensive assessments using consistent and standardized condition rating criterion. • Develop and conduct condition assessment programs for all other transportation assets (roadside appurtenances and sidewalks). Lifecycle Management Strategies • Implement the identified lifecycle management strategies for roads to realize potential cost avoidance and maintain an acceptable quality of road pavement condition. • Evaluate the efficacy of the City’s lifecycle management strategies at regular intervals to determine the impact cost, condition, and risk. • Develop cursory life cycle management strategies for all other transportation assets (sidewalks, streetlights, roadside appurtenances, park trails, bike/multi- use pathways/trails, and traffic & pedestrian signals). Risk Management Strategies • Implement risk-based decision-making as part of asset management planning and budgeting processes. This should include the regular review of high-risk assets to determine appropriate risk mitigation strategies. • Review risk models on a regular basis and adjust according to the availability of additional data and also an evolving understanding of the probability and consequences of asset failure. Levels of Service • Continue to measure current levels of service in accordance with the metrics identified in O. Reg. 588/17 and those metrics that the City believes to provide meaningful and reliable inputs into asset management planning. 42 •Work towards identifying proposed levels of service as per O. Reg. 588/17 and identify the strategies that are required to close any gaps between current and proposed levels of service. 43 4.2 Stormwater System The City is responsible for owning and maintaining a Stormwater System consisting of storm sewer mains and other supporting infrastructure. Staff are working towards improving the accuracy and reliability of their Stormwater System inventory to assist with long-term asset management planning. 4.2.1 Asset Inventory & Replacement Cost The table below includes the quantity, replacement cost method and total replacement cost of each asset segment in the City’s Stormwater System inventory. Asset Segment Sub-Segment Quantity6 Unit of Measure Replacement Cost Method Replacement Cost Drainage Channels Drainage Channels 788 M 100% CPI Inflated $3,455,020 Storm Sewers Catch Basin and Lead 5,342 Quantity 100% Cost per Unit $18,697,000 Storm Sewers Clean Water Collectors 5 KM 100% CPI Inflated $1,009,478 Storm Sewers Inlet/Outlet Structures 69 Quantity 100% Cost per Unit $1,857,825 Storm Sewers Maintenance Holes 3,235 Quantity 100% Cost per Unit $27,982,750 Storm Sewers Oil Grit Separators 33 Quantity 100% Cost per Unit $3,300,000 Storm Sewers Service Connections 17 KM 100% Cost per Unit $10,860,200 Storm Sewers Storm Sewer Mains 210 KM 89% Cost per Unit, 11% CPI Inflated $194,248,963 Stormwater Ponds Dry Ponds 30,838 M3 100% CPI Inflated $1,138,672 Stormwater Ponds Wet Ponds 135,844 M3 93% Cost per Unit, 7% User-Defined Cost $21,209,415 $283,759,323 6 The level of maturity of the asset quantity data is still at a basic level. Staff plan to prioritize data refinement and consolidation efforts to increase confidence in the accuracy and reliability of asset data and information. 44 4.2.2 Asset Condition The table below identifies the current average condition and source of available condition data for each asset segment. The Average Condition Rating is a weighted value based on replacement cost. Asset Segment Sub-Segment Average Condition (%) Average Condition Rating Condition Source Drainage Channels Drainage Channels 99% Very Good 100% Age-based Storm Sewers Catch Basin and Lead 54% Satisfactory 88% Assessed, 12% Age- based7 Storm Sewers Clean Water Collectors 100% Very Good 100% Age-based Storm Sewers Inlet/Outlet Structures 80% Good 100% Age-based Storm Sewers Maintenance Holes 86% Very Good 100% Age-based Storm Sewers Oil Grit Separators 88% Very Good 100% Age-based 7 A desktop assessment was completed by City staff. The results of the assessment were used along with Age-based ratings to calculate the average condition of assets. Desktop assessment ratings were given a weight of 50% compared to 50% for the age-based rating when performing the final condition calculation for Catch Basin and Leads. For Service Connections, the desktop assessments were given a weight of 55% compared to 45% for the age-based rating when performing the final condition calculation. Age-based conditions were solely used when desktop assessments were not performed. 45 Asset Segment Sub-Segment Average Condition (%) Average Condition Rating Condition Source Storm Sewers Service Connections 56% Satisfactory 93% Assessed, 7% Age- based Storm Sewers Storm Sewer Mains 86% Very Good 100% Age-based Stormwater Ponds Dry Ponds 66% Good 100% Age-based Stormwater Ponds Wet Ponds 42% Satisfactory 64% Assessed, 36% Age- based 80% Good To ensure that the City’s Stormwater System continues to provide an acceptable level of service, the City should monitor the average condition of all assets. If the average condition declines, staff should re-evaluate their lifecycle management strategy to determine what combination of maintenance, rehabilitation and replacement activities is required to increase the overall condition of the Stormwater System. Current Approach to Condition Assessment Accurate and reliable condition data allows staff to more confidently determine the remaining service life of assets and identify the most cost-effective approach to managing assets. The following describes the municipality’s current approach: Stormwater Management Facilities In 2020 all stormwater management facilities were assessed by an external consultant and a detailed Asset Management Plan was provided. Staff recommend that this 46 detailed assessment be completed every 10 years, but there is no firm schedule in- place. Using the 2020 assessment as a baseline, City staff plan to complete regular visual inspections of facilities to identify recommended lifecycle activities, monitor performance and address any maintenance concerns Storm Sewers The City completes Closed Circuit Television (CCTV) inspections in conjunction with storm sewer flushing activities. The CCTV inspection program is being evaluated to ensure that there is a defined cycle of inspection across the entire network. 47 4.2.3 Estimated Useful Life & Average Age The Estimated Useful Life for Stormwater System assets has been assigned according to a combination of established industry standards and staff knowledge. The Average Age of each asset is based on the number of years each asset has been in-service. Finally, the Average Projected Service Life Remaining represents the difference between the Estimated Useful Life and the Average Age, except when an asset has been assigned an assessed condition rating. Assessed condition may increase or decrease the average service life remaining. Asset Segment Sub- Segment Estimated Useful Life (Years) Average Age (Years) Average Projected Service Life Remaining (Years) Drainage Channels Drainage Channels ≤50 4.5 45.4 Storm Sewers Catch Basin and Lead ≤50 34.5 11.3 Storm Sewers Clean Water Collectors ≤75 2.9 68.3 Storm Sewers Inlet/Outlet Structures ≤75 41.3 35.5 Storm Sewers Maintenance Holes ≤75 34.7 40.3 Storm Sewers Oil Grit Separators ≤50 20.4 28.8 Storm Sewers Service Connections ≤50 34.8 9.2 Storm Sewers Storm Sewer Mains ≤75 34.3 40.6 Stormwater Ponds Dry Ponds ≤100 32.8 67.2 Stormwater Ponds Wet Ponds ≤50 17.3 16.3 34.2 27.3 48 Each asset’s Estimated Useful Life should be reviewed periodically to determine whether adjustments need to be made to better align with the observed length of service life for each asset type. 4.2.4 Lifecycle Management Strategy The condition or performance of most assets will deteriorate over time. This process is affected by a range of factors including an asset’s characteristics, location, utilization, maintenance history and environment. The following lifecycle strategies have been developed as a proactive approach to managing the lifecycle of wet stormwater ponds. Instead of allowing the stormwater ponds to deteriorate until replacement is required, strategic rehabilitation is expected to extend the service life of stormwater ponds at a lower total cost. Stormwater Ponds (Wet) Event Name Event Class Event Trigger Pond Cleanout 1st cycle Maintenance Year: 20 Pond Cleanout 2nd Cycle Maintenance Year: 40 Asset Replacement Replacement Condition: 0 Two cycles of pond cleanout are included in this lifecycle strategy as maintenance activities. The cleanout includes sediment cleanout, earthworks, landscaping, and outlet structure repair. The first cycle takes place at year 20 and the second cycle takes place at year 40. Both cycles restore the condition back to 85. By applying these activities, the estimated useful life of the asset can get extended from 50 years to 82 years as seen in the graph below. 49 Stormwater Management Facilities Activity Type Description of Current Strategy Maintenance Regular inspections are completed across all facilities. When more detailed inspections were completed in 2020 this included: Inspection of maintenance hole covers, control structures and access barriers Bathymetric surveys and sediment depth measurements at wet ponds Sediment quality sampling to determine proper disposal requirements Maintenance Staff are in the process of evaluating and implementing a proactive maintenance program which may include: Debris cleanup Repairs to outlets, grates, and fences Rehabilitation /Replacement Sediment removal and disposal needs to occur on a regular basis (~ every 20 years). Rehabilitation /Replacement The excavation and removal of sediment from ponds will require a sampling and analysis plan outlining frequency and testing parameters. Rehabilitation /Replacement Due to the relatively young age of the City’s stormwater management facilities, there has not been a previous urgency or requirement to plan for reconstruction/retrofit needs. The 2020 AMP is the first step in developing a long-term lifecycle management strategy for facilities. 50 Storm Sewers Activity Type Description of Current Strategy Maintenance The City’s annual maintenance program for storm sewer mains includes: Storm sewer flushing and video inspection Calcite blockage removal (reaming) Catch basin cleaning Rehabilitation The city is in the process of refining its inventory data and collecting better condition data on linear storm sewer infrastructure. Once this process is completed staff will consider the benefits of trenchless sewer re-lining. Replacement Storm sewer replacement is aligned with road reconstruction programs. When a road is planned for reconstruction, CCTV inspections are completed to determine if the storm sewer needs repair or replacement. This project coordination ultimately leads to lower total project costs and reduces the impact of more frequent road reconstruction. Replacement The City develops a 5-year capital forecast which includes specific named projects Forecasted Capital Requirements The following graph forecasts long-term capital requirements. The annual capital requirement represents the average amount per year that the City should allocate towards funding rehabilitation and replacement needs. The vast majority of the assets that are due for replacement within the next 25 years are split between Storm Sewers and Stormwater Ponds as seen below. 51 The projected cost of lifecycle activities that will need to be undertaken over the next 10 years to maintain the current level of service can be found in Appendix A. Risk & Criticality Risk Matrix The following risk matrix provides a visual representation of the level of risk exposure for this asset category. It considers both the probability of failure and consequence of failure. • Assets that fall in the uper right quadrant require immediate action as they have high chances of failure and major consequences associated to their failure. • Assets that fall in the lower right quadrant require monitoring and predictive analysis of failure as they have high chances of failure with minor to moderate consequences associated to their failure, which may be tolerable by the City. • Assets that fall in the upper left quadrant require proactive maintenance to keep their probability of failure low to moderate since they have moderate to high consequences associated to their failure. • The assets that fall in the lower left quadrant have a low to moderate probability and low to moderate consequences of failure. Therefore, they require usual routine monitoring The metrics that have been used to determine both can be found in Appendix C. 52 Risks to Current Asset Management Strategies The following section summarizes key trends, challenges, and risks to service delivery that the City is currently facing: Climate Change & Extreme Weather Events Changes to intensity, duration, and frequency of rainfall may impact the condition and performance of the Stormwater System. Design criteria can become outdated as Intensity, duration, and Frequency (IDF) curves are updated. The IDF curves have not been updated yet. This risk is rather industry driven than City centered. 53 Infrastructure Design/Installation Design guidelines have been updated to reflect new requirements around storm sewer sizing for new developments. Although newer subdivisions are being designed to meet overland flow requirements, this is not necessarily the case for all of the older developments. Currently, design standards for linear infrastructure are built to capture and convey the 1 in 5-year storm event. However, updated IDF curves may impact this. Infrastructure Re-investment Plans to maintain and rehabilitate ponds are entirely dependant on budget approvals. When adequate budgets are not available, these plans may be deferred or canceled. Lifecycle Management Strategies For storm sewers, inspections are not completed on a strategic level. Inspections are done on a geographic zone basis, not necessarily targeted towards areas of elevated need. The storm sewer age is relatively young north of the Highway 401 (the majority) and getting older south of the Highway. It is rare that the City has to plan for full reconstruction/replacement. However, The City is looking to expand inspection programs to become more strategic as the average age of storm infrastructure increases. Furthermore, ponds within the City are relatively new and not at the end of their lifecycle. The City will be developing a robust lifecycle management strategy based on recently completed asset management plan. 4.2.6 Levels of Service (LOS) The following tables identify the City’s current level of service for the Stormwater System. These metrics include the technical and community level of service metrics that are required as part of O. Reg. 588/17 as well as any additional performance measures that the City has selected for this AMP. 54 Community Levels of Service The following table outlines the qualitative descriptions that determine the community levels of service provided by the Stormwater System. Service Attribute Qualitative Description Current LOS (2020) Scope Description, which may include map, of the user groups or areas of the municipality that are protected from flooding, including the extent of protection provided by the municipal Stormwater System Appendix B 55 Technical Levels of Service The following table outlines the quantitative metrics that determine the technical level of service provided by the Stormwater System. Service Attribute Technical Metric Current LOS (2020) Scope % of properties in municipality resilient to a 100-year storm 60%8 Scope % of the municipal stormwater management system resilient to a 5-year storm 95%8 Performance % of storm sewer mains flushed and inspected 4.59% Performance % of catch basins cleaned 34.8% Performance Operating & Maintenance cost / km of storm sewers and urban ditches $ 10,777.09 Performance Operating & Maintenance cost / # of stormwater management facilities TBD Performance Annual capital reinvestment rate 0.43% 8 The City has assumed that ‘resilient to the 5-year event’ is the amount of Pickering’s minor system within urban settlement and estate development areas that has been designed to convey the 5-year event. Similarly, the City assumes that ‘resilient to the 100-year event’ is the amount of area where the major system is capable of conveying the 100-year event with no impact to buildings within urban settlement and estate development areas. Further studies are required to better determine the percentage accuracy to convey both the 5- year and 100-year event with no impact to infrastructure. Staff have begun efforts to measure the asset performance against the indicated metrics in the Ontario Regulation. That work remains ongoing, and a more accurate representation of the City’s Level of Service (LOS) will be provided in a future AMP. 56 4.2.7 Recommendations Asset Inventory •The City’s Stormwater System inventory remains at a basic level of maturity and staff do not have a high level of confidence in its accuracy or reliability. Staff recognize that there is a need for additional investment of time and resources to develop a comprehensive inventory of the Stormwater System and make it a priority. •Prepare to add all newly assumed Stormwater System infrastructure to the asset inventory to support future planning for maintenance and rehabilitation. Condition Assessment Strategies •The development of a comprehensive inventory should be accompanied by a system-wide assessment of the condition of all assets in the Stormwater System through CCTV or zoom camera inspections. •Include newly assumed stormwater management ponds in condition assessment strategies. Risk Management Strategies •Implement risk-based decision-making as part of asset management planning and budgeting processes. This should include the regular review of high-risk assets to determine appropriate risk mitigation strategies. •Review risk models on a regular basis and adjust according to the availability of data and also an evolving understanding of the probability and consequences of asset failure. Lifecycle Management Strategies •Document and review lifecycle management strategies for the Stormwater System on a regular basis to achieve the lowest total cost of ownership while maintaining adequate service levels. •Consider the development of more preventative maintenance programs. Levels of Service •Continue to measure current levels of service in accordance with the metrics that the City has established in this AMP. Additional metrics can be established as 57 they are determined to provide meaningful and reliable inputs into asset management planning. • Work towards identifying proposed levels of service as per O. Reg. 588/17 and identify the strategies that are required to close any gaps between current and proposed levels of service. 58 4.3 Bridges & Culverts Bridges & Culverts represent a critical portion of the transportation services provided to the community. Engineering Services is responsible (though the Capital Budget process) for any structure replacements or rehabilitation. The Operations Department is responsible for the maintenance of all bridges and culverts located across municipal roads with the goal of keeping structures in an adequate state of repair and minimizing service disruptions. This AMP is for bridges and culverts with a span of three meters or more. The City has many culverts with a span that is less than three meters, including driveway culverts, which are not included in this section. 4.3.1 Asset Inventory & Replacement Cost The table below includes the quantity, replacement cost method and total replacement cost of each asset segment in the City’s Bridges & Culverts inventory. Asset Segment Quantity Replacement Cost Method Total Replacement Cost Bridges 389 100% User-Defined Cost $41,201,000 Structural Culverts 2810 97% User-Defined Cost, 3% CPI Inflated $28,520,727 66 $69,721,727 9 The bridge quantity represents the total number of bridges with a span of 3 m and more, including 9 pedestrian bridges. 10 The culvert quantity represents the total number of culverts with a span of 3 m and more, including 1 pedestrian culvert. 59 4.3.2 Asset Condition The table below identifies the current average condition and source of available condition data for each asset segment. The Average Condition Rating is a weighted value based on replacement cost. Asset Segment Average Condition (%) Average Condition Rating Condition Source Bridges 71% Good 100% Assessed - 2020 OSIM Inspections Structural Culverts 69% Satisfactory 99% Assessed - 2020 OSIM Inspections 70% Good 99% Assessed To ensure that the City’s Bridges & Culverts continue to provide an acceptable level of service, the City should monitor the average condition of all assets. If the average condition declines, staff should re-evaluate their lifecycle management strategy to determine what combination of maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement activities is required to increase the overall condition of the Bridges & Culverts. Current Approach to Condition Assessment Accurate and reliable condition data allows staff to more confidently determine the remaining service life of assets and identify the most cost-effective approach to managing assets. The following describes the municipality’s current approach: Ontario Regulation 104/97 Standards for Bridges requires that every bridge or culvert with a span of 3.0 m or greater be inspected at least once in every second calendar year under the direction of a professional engineer and in accordance with the Ontario Structure Inspection Manual (OSIM). Each structure receives a Bridge Condition Index (BCI) Rating from 1-100 60 While the BCI is a useful comparative measure for common bridges and culverts to plan for maintenance and repairs, it does not indicate the safety of the bridge 4.3.3 Estimated Useful Life & Average Age The Estimated Useful Life for Bridges & Culverts assets has been assigned according to a combination of established industry standards and staff knowledge. The Average Age of each asset is based on the number of years each asset has been in-service. Finally, the Average Projected Service Life Remaining represents the difference between the Estimated Useful Life and the Average Age, except when an asset has been assigned an assessed condition rating. Assessed condition may increase or decrease the average service life remaining. Asset Segment Estimated Useful Life (Years) Average Age (Years) Average Projected Service Life Remaining (Years) Bridges ≤75 59.3 46.5 Structural Culverts ≤75 47.9 44.1 53.9 45.3 Each asset’s Estimated Useful Life should be reviewed periodically to determine whether adjustments need to be made to better align with the observed length of service life for each asset type. 61 4.3.4 Lifecycle Management Strategy The condition or performance of most assets will deteriorate over time. To ensure that municipal assets are performing as expected and meeting the needs of customers and the Ontario Regulation, it is important to establish a lifecycle management strategy to proactively manage asset deterioration. The following table outlines the City’s current lifecycle management strategy. Activity Type Description of Current Strategy Rehabilitation / Replacement Biennial OSIM inspection reports including a Capital Needs List identifying recommended rehabilitation and replacement activities with estimated costs. Rehabilitation / Replacement The report also includes a 2-year priority report to assist the City with determining the timing and urgency of capital needs when developing budgets and capital plans. Maintenance Biennial OSIM inspections including a list of recommended maintenance activities that the City considers and completes according to cost and urgency. Maintenance Typical maintenance activities include: • Obstruction removal • Cleaning/sweeping • Erosion control • Brush/tree removal 62 Forecasted Capital Requirements The following graph forecasts long-term capital requirements aggregated for every 5 years. The annual capital requirement represents the average amount per year that the City should allocate towards funding rehabilitation and replacement needs. The projected cost of lifecycle activities that will need to be undertaken over the next 10 years to maintain the current level of service can be found in Appendix A. 63 4.3.5 Risk & Criticality Risk Matrix The following risk matrix provides a visual representation of the level of risk exposure for this asset category. It considers both the probability of failure and consequence of failure. • Assets that fall in the uper right quadrant require immediate action as they have high chances of failure and major consequences associated to their failure. • Assets that fall in the lower right quadrant require monitoring and predictive analysis of failure as they have high chances of failure with minor to moderate consequences associated to their failure, which may be tolerable by the City. • Assets that fall in the upper left quadrant require proactive maintenance to keep their probability of failure low to moderate since they have moderate to high consequences associated to their failure. • The assets that fall in the lower left quadrant have a low to moderate probability and low to moderate consequences of failure. Therefore, they require usual routine monitoring The metrics that have been used to determine both can be found in Appendix C. 64 Risks to Current Asset Management Strategies The following section summarizes key trends, challenges, and risks to service delivery that the City is currently facing: Climate Change & Extreme Weather Events Changes to intensity, duration, and frequency of rainfall may impact the condition of bridges and culverts. Although design standards have evolved over time to meet changing climate, older structures were designed to a different standard, and therefore not as resilient as newer structures. Infrastructure Re-investment Major capital rehabilitation projects for bridges and culverts are sometimes dependant on the availability of grant funding opportunities. When grants are not available, bridge rehabilitation projects may be deferred. However, bridges and culverts are also funded by the Roads and Bridges Reserve or by the issuance of debt. An annual capital funding strategy reduces dependency on grant funding and help prevent deferral or capital works. Lifecycle Management Strategies In the past several years maintenance and capital priorities have followed OSIM recommendations quite closely. However, the unavailability of adequate capital budget forced the City to prioritize some projects over others in the past. 4.3.6 Levels of Service (LOS) The following tables identify the City’s current level of service for Bridges & Culverts. These metrics include the technical and community level of service metrics that are required as part of O. Reg. 588/17 as well as any additional performance measures that the City has selected for this AMP. 65 Community Levels of Service The following table outlines the qualitative descriptions that determine the community levels of service provided by Bridges & Culverts. Service Attribute Qualitative Description Current LOS (2020) Scope Description of the traffic that is supported by municipal bridges (e.g., heavy transport vehicles, motor vehicles, emergency vehicles, pedestrians, cyclists) Bridges and structural culverts are a key component of the municipal transportation network. At this time, there are nine bridges with a load limit by-law. Unless otherwise posted, there are no restrictions to the types of traffic that can use municipal bridges and structural culverts, meaning heavy transport, motor vehicles, emergency vehicles and cyclists can cross them without restriction. Quality Description or images of the condition of bridges and how this would affect use of the bridges Appendix B Quality Description or images of the condition of culverts and how this would affect use of the culverts Appendix B 66 Technical Levels of Service The following table outlines the quantitative metrics that determine the technical level of service provided by Bridges & Culverts. Service Attribute Technical Metric Current LOS (2020) Scope % of bridges in the City with loading or dimensional restrictions 23.68% Quality Average bridge condition index value for bridges in the City 70.6% Quality Average bridge condition index value for structural culverts in the City 70.2% Performance Capital re-investment rate 1.91% Performance Operating & Maintenance costs for bridges & culverts / m2 $ 26.11 Performance # of unplanned bridge closures TBD 67 4.3.7 Recommendations Data Review/Validation • Continue to review and validate inventory data, assessed condition data and replacement costs for all bridges and structural culverts upon the completion of OSIM inspections every 2 years. Condition • Ensure that the condition ratings from OSIM are entered into asset inventory to support planning for deterioration modeling. Risk Management Strategies • Implement risk-based decision-making as part of asset management planning and budgeting processes. This should include the regular review of high-risk assets to determine appropriate risk mitigation strategies. • Review risk models on a regular basis and adjust according to an evolving understanding of the probability and consequences of asset failure. Lifecycle Management Strategies • Maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement projects recommended by OSIM cannot all be met due to budget constraints. Prioritize reinvestment into bridges and structural culverts to ensure capital rehabilitation and maintenance is achieved on schedule. • Work towards developing lifecycle models to prolong estimated useful life and optimize funding. Levels of Service • Continue to measure current levels of service in accordance with the metrics identified in O. Reg. 588/17 and those metrics that the City believe to provide meaningful and reliable inputs into asset management planning. • Work towards identifying proposed levels of service as per O. Reg. 588/17 and identify the strategies that are required to close any gaps between current and proposed levels of service. 68 4.4 Buildings & Facilities The City owns and maintains several facilities and recreation centres that provide key services to the community. These buildings fall under the following categories: • Civic Complex • Community & Cultural Buildings • Fire Services • Operations Centre • Recreation, Pools & Arenas 4.4.1 Asset Inventory & Replacement Cost The table below includes the quantity, replacement cost method and total replacement cost of each asset segment in the City’s Buildings & Facilities asset inventory. Asset Segment Quantity (# of Facilities) Replacement Cost Method Replacement Cost Civic Complex 1 100% User- Defined Cost $38,927,479 Community & Cultural Buildings 16 100% User- Defined Cost $51,377,603 Fire Services 4 100% User- Defined Cost $16,568,369 Operations Centre 5 99% User- Defined Cost, 0.02% CPI Inflated $34,822,278 Recreation, Pools & Arenas 4 100% User- Defined Cost $156,260,360 30 $297,956,089 69 4.4.2 Asset Condition The table below identifies the current average condition and source of available condition data for each asset segment. The FCI Condition Rating is a weighted value based on replacement cost. Asset Segment Facility Condition Index (FCI)11 FCI Condition Rating Condition Source Civic Complex 0.30 Below Satisfactory VFA Database Community & Cultural Buildings 0.26 Satisfactory VFA Database Fire Services 0.27 Satisfactory VFA Database Operations Centre 0.00 Excellent VFA Database Recreation, Pools & Arenas 0.21 Satisfactory VFA Database 0.21 Satisfactory To ensure that the City’s Building & Facilities continue to provide an acceptable level of service, the City monitors the condition of all assets in each of its facilities. As their condition declines, staff re-evaluate their lifecycle management and funding strategy to determine what combination of maintenance, rehabilitation and replacement activities is required to increase the overall condition of Buildings & Facilities. 11 Appendix E provides details on the FCI Condition Rating Scale 70 Current Approach to Condition Assessment Accurate and reliable condition data allows staff to more confidently determine the remaining service life of assets and identify the most cost-effective approach to managing assets. The following describes the municipality’s current approach: The City has completed and maintains current facility condition assessments through use of the VFA Facilities software solution, supported by audits undertaken by staff and third-party consultants over the past five years. It is expected that all facilities will be re-inspected on a 5-year cycle moving forward. The condition data from the VFA software is used in this report. Each facility component is assessed based on inspections, estimated useful life and discussion with facilities maintenance staff. All component-based data rolls up to provide an overall Facility Condition Index (FCI) score. The FCI is an industry standard measure used to compare relative building conditions and defined as the value of deferred maintenance expected over the next five years divided by the total replacement value of the building. The database is updated, upon completion of any new or lifecycle replacement project, to keep the database current and reflect the changes to the facility condition. 71 4.4.3 Lifecycle Management Strategy The condition or performance of most assets will deteriorate over time. This process is affected by a range of factors including an asset’s characteristics, location, utilization, maintenance history and environment. The following table further expands on the City’s current approach to lifecycle management: Activity Type Description of Current Strategy Maintenance City Facilities Maintenance staff develop preventative maintenance plans that are tailored for each facility. These plans include a variety of activities that are completed by both internal staff and external contractors including: Routine health & safety inspections and general facility maintenance Elevator & life safety systems testing Utilities inspection & maintenance (e.g., generators, plumbing, HVAC) Rehabilitation Facility rehabilitation relies on determining the optimal time to replace components to minimize costs and manage risks without jeopardizing facility safety and operational standards. Staff prioritize rehabilitation needs into three broad categories: Primary: health & safety, roof replacement Secondary: HVAC and electrical systems Tertiary: cosmetics, lighting, cladding, flooring Rehabilitation In general terms, the City’s approach is to look at facilities in term of generational life cycles, with each cycle lasting roughly 25-30 years. A major renovation is typically required at that point to address the end of life of a broad number of building systems (HVAC, roofs, finishes, etc.). Most buildings have 2-3 generational cycles in them, leaning towards the lower number if each generation is stretched to 30+ years. Replacement Determining facility replacement requirements involves several key sources of information, including: Facility condition index & staff inspections Maintenance and work order records. Master Plans Stakeholder input Replacement Staff aim to start evaluating and planning for facility replacements at least 5-10 years in advance of required capital works. 72 Forecasted Capital Requirements The following graph forecasts long-term capital requirements. The annual capital requirement represents the average amount per year that the City should allocate towards funding rehabilitation and replacement needs. The City uses a generational life cycle approach, with each cycle lasting 25-30 years. A major renovation is typically required at that point to address the end of life of a broad number of building systems (HVAC, roofs, finishes, etc.). Most buildings have 2-3 generational cycles in them, leaning towards the lower number. Therefore, a 25-year projection was adopted in this Asset Management Plan. The following graph does not take into account the potential closure of facilities12. The projected cost of lifecycle activities that will need to be undertaken over the next 10 years to maintain the current level of service can be found in Appendix A. 12 Several major facilities have been identified for potential closure (FS5, ESCC and DBA). Removing and replacing these facilities with new buildings would reduce projected lifecycle capital costs from the point of each closure as new buildings typically do not incur high costs for the first 10-15 years after construction. Replacement needs are also pushed back as long as possible to avoid the related costs prior to closure, save those essential to sustaining operations. 73 4.4.4 Risk & Criticality Risk Matrix The following risk matrix provides a visual representation of the level of risk exposure for this asset category. It considers both the probability of failure and consequence of failure. • Assets that fall in the uper right quadrant require immediate action as they have high chances of failure and major consequences associated to their failure. • Assets that fall in the lower right quadrant require monitoring and predictive analysis of failure as they have high chances of failure with minor to moderate consequences associated to their failure, which may be tolerable by the City. • Assets that fall in the upper left quadrant require proactive maintenance to keep their probability of failure low to moderate since they have moderate to high consequences associated to their failure. • The assets that fall in the lower left quadrant have a low to moderate probability and low to moderate consequences of failure. Therefore, they require usual routine monitoring For Buildings and Facilities, the “assets” represented in the risk matrix represent individual components of the assets. Therefore, the quantities represented below are more than 30 (total number of facilities). The metrics that have been used to determine both can be found in Appendix C. 74 Risks to Current Asset Management Strategies The following section summarizes key trends, challenges, and risks to service delivery that the City is currently facing: Climate Change & Extreme Weather Events The concern is regarding the long-term trend rather than individual events. Increasing temperatures place greater stress on HVAC systems. Climate resiliency is already a key consideration in any discussion of new construction/retrofits - E.g., building roof curbs to allow additional insulation thickness at a later date. Infrastructure Design/Installation Future-proofing is a key strategy for all City capital projects. The City acknowledges the need to build in as much resilience, durability, and flexibility as possible. The City wants to be able to keep up with technological advancements, and aging systems often become more difficult to maintain as parts and required expertise become sparse. Redundancy is key for critical systems, such as HVAC, electrical and life safety systems 75 Lifecycle Management Strategies and Long-term Planning The current lifecycle management strategy for buildings and facilities prioritizes certain buildings that are key to the delivery of critical municipal services (City Hall and Emergency Services as a top priority then Rec Facilities and Support/Auxiliary). Long-term planning can be complicated by frequent changes in strategic priorities affecting the continuity required to effectively deliver major projects. The City is currently reviewing options to improve funding and sequencing of works, including a 5–10-year long term plan. This will address both growth needs, as well as rejuvenation and replacement of older facilities. All asset management plans data accuracy degrades with time. The City’s strategy is to renew it by completing physical audits on a five-year cycle. The construction cost database software used to cost the work identified in the asset management plan is automatically updated annually. Organizational Knowledge & Capacity Effective facilities planning is a lengthy and laborious process. Staff turnover can also lead to loss of institutional knowledge, making extensive and long-term record-retention essential as a backup. It is particularly impactful for facilities, where investigation of areas in active use might not be feasible. 4.4.5 Levels of Service (LOS) The following tables identify the City’s current level of service for Buildings and Facilities. These metrics include the technical and community level of service metrics that are required as part of O. Reg. 588/17 as well as any additional performance measures that the City has selected for this AMP. 76 Community Levels of Service The following table outlines the qualitative descriptions that determine the community levels of service provided by the Buildings & Facilities assets. Service Attribute Technical Metric Current LOS (2020) Accessible & Reliable Description of Pickering’s Accessibility Advisory Committee and examples of accessible facility equipment. The City of Pickering prepares a Multi-Year Accessibility Plan that sets out the steps that will be taken to: Work toward removing existing barriers for persons with disabilities Plan for the prevention of new barriers Achieve compliance with the AODA regulations The implementation of the Plan is supported by the Pickering Accessibility Advisory Committee. Examples of accessible facility equipment includes: Steps with non-slip treads and stair lifts Ramps, sliding doors and automatic doors Accessible washrooms and shower facilities Safe & Regulatory Description of inspections processes in place for facilities There are several inspection programs in place to ensure that municipal facilities are kept in a good state of repair and maintenance activities are addressed in a timely manner. These are completed by a combination of both City staff and external contractors when subject matter expertise is required. The frequency and scope of inspections is determined by both regulatory requirements and risk. There are three levels of prioritization as follows: Primary: Health & Safety, Roofing Secondary: HVAC and electrical systems Tertiary: Cosmetics, lighting, flooring etc. 77 Technical Levels of Service The following table outlines the quantitative metrics that determine the technical level of service provided by the Building & Facilities assets. Service Attribute Technical Metric Current LOS (2020) Accessible & Reliable % of facilities with accessible entrances and washrooms 62% Safe & Regulatory % of facilities where monthly inspections have been completed 100% Affordable Annual maintenance rate (total maintenance and repair budgets / total ft2 of all facilities) $ 3.27 Affordable Total utility costs / ft2 of all facilities $ 2.17 Sustainable Overall Facilities Condition Index 0.21 Sustainable Annual capital reinvestment rate 0.78% 78 4.4.6 Recommendations Asset Inventory • Continue to review and refine the Building & Facilities asset inventory to ensure new assets and betterments are reflected and attributes are detailed. Condition Assessment Strategies • Ensure that condition ratings from building condition assessments are entered into the asset inventory on continuous basis to support planning for deterioration modeling. Lifecycle Management Strategies • Maintenance, rehabilitation, and replacement projects recommended by building condition assessments cannot all be met due to budget constraints. Keep prioritizing capital projects based on health and safety issues, as well as public feedback. • Work towards developing lifecycle models to prolong estimated useful life and optimize use of available funding. Risk Management Strategies • Continue to implement risk-management based decision-making as part of asset management planning and budgeting processes. This includes the regular review of high-risk assets to determine appropriate risk mitigation strategies. • Review risk models on a regular basis and adjust according to the availability of additional data and also an evolving understanding of the probability and consequences of asset failure. Levels of Service • Continue to measure current levels of service in accordance with the metrics identified in O. Reg. 588/17 and those metrics that the City believes to provide meaningful and reliable inputs into asset management planning. • Work towards identifying proposed levels of service as per O. Reg. 588/17 and identify the strategies that are required to close any gaps between current and proposed levels of service. 79 4.5 Parks The City owns and operates several assets that are fall under the Parks assets category. These assets are essential for the Parks’ service delivery. The asset segments include13: • Active Recreation Facilities • Amenities, Furniture & Utilities • Vehicular and Pedestrian Networks 4.5.1 Asset Inventory & Replacement Cost The table below includes the quantity, replacement cost method and total replacement cost of each asset segment in the City’s Parks asset inventory. Asset Segment Sub- Segment Quantity 14 Unit of Measure Replacement Cost Method Replacement Cost Active Recreation Facilities Playground Equipment 86 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation $6,519,728 Active Recreation Facilities Sport Playing Surfaces 19,736 M2 100% CPI Inflation $18,967,71015 Active Recreation Facilities Sport Playing Surfaces 116 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation - Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Buildings 1,489 M2 100% CPI Inflation $3,636,048 13 Note: The asset inventory includes only traditional tangible capital assets and does not include natural assets. 14 The level of maturity of the asset quantity data is still at a basic level. Staff plan to prioritize data refinement and consolidation efforts to increase confidence in the accuracy and reliability of asset data and information. 15 Replacement cost is for all Sport Playing Surfaces. 80 Asset Segment Sub- Segment Quantity 14 Unit of Measure Replacement Cost Method Replacement Cost Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Buildings 14 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation - Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Electrical/ Lighting 516 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation $7,297,086 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Furniture 106 M2 100% CPI Inflation $1,134,68916 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Furniture 182 M 100% CPI Inflation - Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Furniture 375 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation - Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Structures 1,116 M2 88% User- Defined Cost, 12% CPI Inflation $8,381,55217 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Structures 4,311 M 88% User- Defined Cost, 12% CPI Inflation - Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Structures 196 Quantity 88% User- Defined Cost, 12% CPI Inflation - Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Subsurface Infrastructure 2,744 M 100% CPI Inflation $1,254,59818 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Subsurface Infrastructure 163 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation - 16 Replacement cost is for all Site Furniture. 17 Replacement cost is for all Site Structures. 18 Replacement cost is for all Subsurface Infrastructure. 81 Asset Segment Sub- Segment Quantity Unit of Measure Replacement Cost Method Replacement Cost Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Waterfront Infrastructure 762 M2 100% CPI Inflation $10,102,76719 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Waterfront Infrastructure 3 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation - Vehicular & Pedestrian Networks Parking Lots & Internal Roads 51 KM2 100% CPI Inflation $2,467,565 Vehicular & Pedestrian Networks Pedestrian Corridors 80 KM2 100% CPI Inflation $7,893,946 $67,655,689 19 Replacement cost is for all Waterfront Infrastructure 82 4.5.2 Asset Condition The table below identifies the current average condition and source of available condition data for each asset segment. The Average Condition Rating is a weighted value based on replacement cost. Asset Segment Sub-Segment Average Condition (%) Average Condition Rating Condition Source Active Recreation Facilities Playground Equipment 49% Satisfactory 100% Assessed Active Recreation Facilities Sport Playing Surfaces 46% Satisfactory 100% Assessed Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Buildings 66% Good 100% Assessed Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Electrical/Lighting 52% Satisfactory 100% Assessed Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Furniture 63% Good 100% Assessed Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Structures 73% Good 100% Assessed Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Subsurface Infrastructure 67% Good 100% Assessed Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Waterfront Infrastructure 74% Good 100% Assessed Vehicular & Pedestrian Networks Parking Lots & Internal Roads 53% Satisfactory 100% Assessed Vehicular & Pedestrian Networks Pedestrian Corridors 60% Good 100% Assessed 58% Satisfactory 83 Current Approach to Condition Assessment Accurate and reliable condition data allows staff to more confidently determine the remaining service life of assets and identify the most cost-effective approach to managing assets. The following describes the municipality’s current approach: Staff began to implement a condition assessment program for parks infrastructure in 2017. Assessments have been continuously completed and there are plans to continue assessing parks infrastructure using co-op students and other internal staff. In addition to annual condition assessments, the City employs a Parks Inspector who inspects all City playgrounds monthly to ensure playground equipment is in good repair and playgrounds are safe. 84 4.5.3 Estimated Useful Life & Average Age The Estimated Useful Life for Parks assets has been assigned according to a combination of established industry standards and staff knowledge. The Average Age of each asset is based on the number of years each asset has been in-service. Finally, the Average Projected Service Life Remaining represents the difference between the Estimated Useful Life and the Average Age, except when an asset has been assigned an assessed condition rating. Assessed condition may increase or decrease the average service life remaining. Asset Segment Sub-Segment Estimated Useful Life (Years) Average Age (Years) Average Projected Service Life Remaining (Years) Active Recreation Facilities Playground Equipment ≤20 16.7 7.4 Active Recreation Facilities Sport Playing Surfaces ≤40 26.3 8.7 Active Recreation Facilities Buildings ≤40 17.3 18.8 Active Recreation Facilities Electrical/Lighting ≤40 27.1 11.5 Active Recreation Facilities Site Furniture ≤30 17.6 9.8 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Structures ≤40 11.0 19.8 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Subsurface Infrastructure ≤50 28.9 24.1 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Waterfront Infrastructure ≤100 12.3 26.6 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Parking Lots & Internal Roads ≤40 22.7 15.5 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Pedestrian Corridors ≤40 21.3 17.7 21.4 14.1 85 Each asset’s Estimated Useful Life should be reviewed periodically to determine whether adjustments need to be made to better align with the observed length of service life for each asset type. 4.5.4 Lifecycle Management Strategy The condition or performance of most assets will deteriorate over time. This process is affected by a range of factors including an asset’s characteristics, location, utilization, maintenance history and environment. The following table further expands on the City’s current approach to lifecycle management: Activity Type Description of Current Strategy Maintenance The City’s parks maintenance program is tailored to each park and includes activities such as: • Garbage disposal • Grass cutting • Park and playground inspections & repairs • Park lighting inspections & repairs • Irrigation system inspections & repairs Rehabilitation /Replacement Based on condition assessment and inspections some repairs can be completed on-site. Where an external contractor or specialized materials/equipment are required additional follow-up may be required. Rehabilitation /Replacement Parks staff also receive feedback from park users that informs the development of both maintenance and capital plans. 86 Forecasted Capital Requirements The following graph forecasts long-term capital requirements. The annual capital requirement represents the average amount per year that the City should allocate towards funding rehabilitation and replacement needs. The projected cost of lifecycle activities that will need to be undertaken over the next 10 years to maintain the current level of service can be found in Appendix A. 4.5.5 Risk & Criticality Risk Matrix The following risk matrix provides a visual representation of the level of risk exposure for this asset category. It considers both the probability of failure and consequence of failure. • Assets that fall in the uper right quadrant require immediate action as they have high chances of failure and major consequences associated to their failure. • Assets that fall in the lower right quadrant require monitoring and predictive analysis of failure as they have high chances of failure with minor to moderate consequences associated to their failure, which may be tolerable by the City. • Assets that fall in the upper left quadrant require proactive maintenance to keep their probability of failure low to moderate since they have moderate to high consequences associated to their failure. • The assets that fall in the lower left quadrant have a low to moderate probability and low to moderate consequences of failure. Therefore, they require usual routine monitoring 87 The metrics that have been used to determine both can be found in Appendix C. Risks to Current Asset Management Strategies The following section summarizes key trends, challenges, and risks to service delivery that the City is currently facing: Asset Data Confidence Currently, the asset data level of maturity is still at a basic level. The City is undergoing an additional data refinement exercise to continue to improve parks inventory datasets and to ensure that the inventory captures all infrastructure with sufficient details to inform asset management planning. There are some concerns with underestimating the total life cycle costs for parks infrastructure using the current datasets. 88 Climate Change & Extreme Weather Events Flooding can impact programs and activities (e.g., soccer fields). Waterfront is a major flood risk are (two record high flooding levels have been recorded in the past 4 years). Erosion has been a problem as well as damage, causing damages to waterfront infrastructure - e.g., break- wall. Furthermore, the waterfront infrastructure is deteriorating and suffering from premature wear from flooding, and also the sandblasting effect caused by the City’s natural sandy beach and wind. Infrastructure Design/Installation There are concerns with contractors and installation practices (e.g., grading and its impact on drainage and safety with grass cutting). Lifecycle Management Strategies The lifecycle management strategies have been rather reactive than proactive due to staff resource availability, and budget dollars. Some maintenance activities are deferred based on staff resources and availability of budget. On another note, there is premature wearing of sport field surfaces due to overbooking of existing infrastructure / lack of sufficient quantity to meet demand. The Sports Turf Association publication “Athletic Field Construction Manual” 2nd edition (2012) lays out a 5-part Athletic Field Classification System, as well as Permitting Hours & Maintenance Cost for Field Categories that indicates that the City is overbooking its fields (All - turf and artificial). Furthermore, the City is not programming the bookings in accordance with the required maintenance capacity and downtime required for field recovery. 4.5.6 Levels of Service (LOS) The following tables identify the City’s current level of service for the Road Network. These metrics include the technical and community level of service metrics that are required as part of O. Reg. 588/17 as well as any additional performance measures that the City has selected for this AMP. 89 Community Levels of Service The following table outlines the qualitative descriptions that determine the community levels of service provided by the Parks assets. Service Attribute Qualitative Description Current LOS (2020) Accessible & Reliable A map of the municipality with all municipal parks highlighted See Appendix B Safe & Regulatory Description of the parks inspection process and timelines for regular inspection The City employs a Parks Inspector who is responsible for inspecting all playground facilities on a monthly basis. Additionally, Parks staff complete cursory inspections on an regular basis as part of regular maintenance and operating activities. From these inspection activities a deficiency list is created which is reviewed and implemented by a combination of City staff and external contractors when subject matter expertise is required. Technical Levels of Service The following table outlines the quantitative metrics that determine the technical level of service provided by the Parks assets. Service Attribute Technical Metric Current LOS (2020) Accessible & Reliable Square metres of outdoor recreation facility space per 1,000 population 659.8 Safe & Regulatory # of customer complaints about conditions in parks 51 Safe & Regulatory % of monthly park inspections completed 100 Affordable Operating & maintenance cost for parks per # of parks $ 56,773.21 Sustainable Average condition of parks infrastructure Satisfactory Sustainable Annual capital reinvestment rate 3.04% 90 4.5.7 Recommendations Asset Inventory • Continue to review and refine the Parks asset inventory to ensure new assets and betterments are reflected and attributes are detailed. Condition Assessment Strategies • Identify condition assessment strategies for high value and high-risk assets. • Review assets that have surpassed their estimated useful life to determine if immediate replacement is required or whether these assets are expected to remain in-service. Adjust the service life and/or condition ratings for these assets accordingly. Lifecycle Management Strategies • Work towards developing lifecycle models to prolong estimated useful life and optimize funding. Risk Management Strategies • Review risk models on a regular basis and adjust according to the availability of additional data and also an evolving understanding of the probability and consequences of asset failure. Levels of Service • Work towards ensuring that the sport field / infrastructure capacity is in place to meet the public / user group demand. The City needs to reduce the wear on its fields and infrastructure caused by over-usage by increasing the sport field inventory count. • Continue to measure current levels of service in accordance with the metrics identified in O. Reg. 588/17 and those metrics that the City believes to provide meaningful and reliable inputs into asset management planning. • Work towards identifying proposed levels of service as per O. Reg. 588/17 and identify the strategies that are required to close any gaps between current and proposed levels of service. 91 4.6 Other Infrastructure The City owns and maintains several Other Infrastructure that provide key services to the community. These Other Infrastructure fall under the following categories: • Furniture & Fixtures • Information Technology • Library Collection Materials • Machinery & Equipment • Vehicles 4.6.1 Asset Inventory & Replacement Cost The table below includes the quantity, replacement cost method and total replacement cost of each asset segment in the City’s Other Infrastructure inventory. Asset Segment Sub- Segment Quantity Unit of Measure Replacement Cost Method Replacement Cost Furniture & Fixtures Furniture & Fixtures 860 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation $1,527,300 Information Technology Information Technology 638 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation $2,270,128 Library Collection Materials20 Library Collection Materials 11 Quantity 100% CPI Inflation $2,096,525 Machinery & Equipment Major 35 Quantity $6,114,758 $6,114,758 Machinery & Equipment Minor 1,310 Quantity $6,981,929 $6,981,929 Vehicles Fire Vehicles 11 Quantity $8,647,552 $8,647,552 Vehicles Vehicles 115 Quantity $9,501,444 $9,501,444 $37,139,636 20 Through the Current Budget, the Library purchases an additional $300,000 per year in short term Library collection assets such as e-books and magazines that is not reflected in the above Library long term assets. 92 4.6.2 Asset Condition The table below identifies the current average condition and source of available condition data for each asset segment. The Average Condition (%) is a weighted value based on replacement cost. Asset Segment Sub- Segment Average Condition (%) Average Condition Rating Condition Source Furniture & Fixtures Furniture & Fixtures 57% Satisfactory 100% Age- based Information Technology Information Technology 29% Below Satisfactory 100% Age- based Library Collection Materials Library Collection Materials 46% Satisfactory 100% Age- based Machinery & Equipment Major 45% Satisfactory 100% Age- based Machinery & Equipment Minor 44% Satisfactory 100% Age- based Vehicles Fire Vehicles 47% Satisfactory 100% Age- based Vehicles Vehicles 49% Satisfactory 100% Age- based 46% Satisfactory 93 To ensure that the City’s Other Infrastructure continue to provide an acceptable level of service, the City should monitor the average condition of all assets. If the average condition declines, staff should re-evaluate their lifecycle management strategy to determine what combination of maintenance, rehabilitation and replacement activities is required to increase the overall condition of Other Infrastructure. 4.6.3 Estimated Useful Life & Average Age The Estimated Useful Life for Other Infrastructure has been assigned according to a combination of established industry standards and staff knowledge. The Average Age of each asset is based on the number of years each asset has been in-service. Finally, the Average Projected Service Life Remaining represents the difference between the Estimated Useful Life and the Average Age. Asset Segment Sub-Segment Estimated Useful Life (Years) Average Age (Years) Average Projected Service Life Remaining (Years) Furniture & Fixtures Furniture & Fixtures ≤50 8.8 13.3 Information Technology Information Technology ≤10 6.5 -1.121 Library Collection Materials Library Collection Materials ≤7 2.9 2.9 Machinery & Equipment Major ≤15 6.1 4.6 Machinery & Equipment Minor ≤25 7.5 2.6 21 A negative Average Projected Service Life Remaining (Years) means that the majority of assets have surpassed their useful lives. In other words, there are more assets that have surpassed their useful lives than those that have not yet reached their useful lives. 94 Asset Segment Sub-Segment Estimated Useful Life (Years) Average Age (Years) Average Projected Service Life Remaining (Years) Vehicles Fire Vehicles ≤15 8.7 6.3 Vehicles Vehicles ≤9 4.8 3.2 6.8 2.8 Each asset’s Estimated Useful Life should be reviewed periodically to determine whether adjustments need to be made to better align with the observed length of service life for each asset type. 4.6.4 Lifecycle Management Strategy Forecasted Capital Requirements The following graph forecasts long-term capital requirements. The annual capital requirement represents the average amount per year that the City should allocate towards funding rehabilitation and replacement needs. 95 The projected cost of lifecycle activities that will need to be undertaken over the next 10 years to maintain the current level of service can be found in Appendix A. 4.6.5 Risk & Criticality Risk Matrix The following risk matrix provides a visual representation of the level of risk exposure for this asset category. It considers both the probability of failure and consequence of failure. • Assets that fall in the uper right quadrant require immediate action as they have high chances of failure and major consequences associated to their failure. • Assets that fall in the lower right quadrant require monitoring and predictive analysis of failure as they have high chances of failure with minor to moderate consequences associated to their failure, which may be tolerable by the City. • Assets that fall in the upper left quadrant require proactive maintenance to keep their probability of failure low to moderate since they have moderate to high consequences associated to their failure. • The assets that fall in the lower left quadrant have a low to moderate probability and low to moderate consequences of failure. Therefore, they require usual routine monitoring The metrics that have been used to determine both can be found in Appendix C. 96 4.6.6 Levels of Service The Other Infrastructure category is considered a non-core asset category. As such, the City has until July 1, 2024, to determine the qualitative descriptions and technical metrics that measure the current level of service provided. 97 4.6.7 Recommendations Asset Inventory • Start to review and validate inventory data, assessed condition data and replacement costs for all Other Infrastructure. Condition Assessment Strategies • Start obtaining and entering condition ratings from assessments into the asset inventory on a continuous basis to support planning for deterioration modeling. Risk Management Strategies • Review risk models on a regular basis and adjust according to the availability of data and also an evolving understanding of the probability and consequences of asset failure. Lifecycle Management Strategies • Document and review lifecycle management strategies for Other Infrastructure on a regular basis to achieve the lowest total cost of ownership while maintaining adequate service levels. • Consider the development of preventative maintenance programs. Levels of Service • Work towards identifying current and proposed levels of service as per O. Reg. 588/17 and identify the strategies that are required to close any gaps between current and proposed levels of service by July 1st, 2025 98 Key Insights 5 Impacts of Growth • Understanding the key drivers of growth and demand will allow the City to more effectively plan for new infrastructure and the upgrade or disposal of existing infrastructure. There is a Provincial mandate to intensify development around Major Transit Station Areas and within Strategic Growth Areas (e.g., within centres and along corridors), within the built-up areas of the city, and to identify greenfield areas for growth outside the city’s built-up area, in accordance with the provisions of A Place to Grow: The Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe. • Significant population and employment growth is expected. • The costs of growth should be considered in long-term funding strategies that are designed to maintain the current level of service. 99 5.1 Description of Growth Assumptions The demand for infrastructure and services will change over time based on a combination of internal and external factors. Understanding the key drivers of growth and demand will allow the City to plan for new infrastructure more effectively, as well as upgrade or dispose of existing infrastructure. Increases or decreases in demand can affect what assets are needed and what level of service meets the needs of the community. 5.1.1 Pickering Official Plan – Edition 8 (October 2018) In 1997, the City of Pickering (Corporation of the Town of Pickering, at the time) and the Council of the Regional Municipality of Durham approved the Official Plan. The Official Plan lays the “foundation” for building a good community. As a foundation, it provides a vision of the City, identifies how the vision can be reached, and establishes a monitoring program for checking progress and making necessary adjustments. The last consolidation of the plan was in October 2018. This vision of the plan can be translated into the following set of guiding principles for Pickering’s future growth and development: A. To meet people’s needs while ensuring environmentally appropriate actions; B. To become more self-sufficient while seeking broader connections; C. To support individual rights while upholding community goals; D. To welcome diversity while respecting local context; and E. To manage change while recognizing uncertainty. Future growth in the City is centered principally around redevelopment and intensification in the Pickering City Centre and on lands along the Kingston Road Corridor and within the Specialty Retailing Node (located east of Brock Road, north of Highway 401 and south of Kingston Road), new development within the Duffin Heights Neighbourhood and the new Seaton Urban Area. The City Centre The Pickering Official Plan supports growth in all portions of the City Centre and restricts new residential development in City Centre south of Highway 401 to 6,300 people or 3,400 units by 2031 until at least an additional 2,000 people or 1,100 new units have been developed on lands north of Highway 401 in the City Centre. Furthermore, South Pickering Urban Area Employment Target Policy adopts an employment target for the City Centre of 13,500 jobs for the year 2031, which represents adding 8,800 jobs to the area. Moreover, the total population in the City Centre is expected to grow from 5,100 (2011) to 13,500 by 2031. The Kingston Road Corridor and Specialty Retailing Node 100 The Pickering Official Plan is currently being amended to provide a comprehensive policy framework for the redevelopment and intensification of lands along the Kingston Road Corridor and within the Specialty Retailing Node. The potential mix of uses and densities along the Corridor and within the Node is expected to yield a total of 22,000 residents and 8,100 jobs by 2041. A map depicting the Kingston Road Corridor and Specialty Retailing Node Intensification Plan Area can be found below. 101 The Duffin Heights Neighbourhood The development of the Duffin Heights Neighbourhood, located north of Third Concession Road and centered around Brock Road, kicked off in 2011. According to the City’s 20-year Detailed Population Forecast, the Duffin Heights neighbourhood is forecasted to grow to 12,461 people and 4,360 units by 2031. The following map presents the Duffin Heights Neighborhood as part of the South Pickering Urban Area Neighbourhoods: 102 The Seaton Urban Area According to the Seaton Urban Area Population and Employment Policy, City Council supports the development of an urban community that will accommodate 61,000 people by 2031 and be planned to accommodate up to 70,000 people through long-term intensification. The plan also includes the provision of high-quality employment opportunities that reflect the needs of the community with the identification of sufficient employment lands to generate approximately one job for every two residents with 30,500 jobs by 2031, and up to 35,000 jobs through long-term intensification. Neighbourhood # Neighbourhood Name 1 Rosebank 2 West Shore 3 Bay Ridges 4 Brock Industrial 5 Rougemount 6 Woodlands 7 Dunbarton 8 City Centre 9 Village East 10 Highbush 11 Amberlea 12 Liverpool 13 Brock Ridge 14 Rouge Park 15 Duffin Heights 103 The following table provides a breakdown of the of the 2031 population forecast of the Seaton Urban Area: The following map exhibits the neighbourhood of the Seaton Urban Area listed above: Neighbourhood 2031 Population Lamoreaux 17,500 Brock-Taunton 5,000 Mount Pleasant 18,000 Wilson Meadows 15,000 Thompson’s Corners 5,500 Pickering Innovation Corridor 0 104 5.1.2 Growth Forecasts The Durham Regional Official Plan was consolidated on May 26, 2020. The Region's original Official Plan was adopted by Regional Council on July 14, 1976 and approved by the Minister of Housing on March 17, 1978. The goal of the plan is to manage growth and to develop the Region to its economic potential and increase job opportunities for its residents, while focusing on creating healthy and complete sustainable communities within the urban environment. The plan takes into consideration provincial land use policy and plans such as the Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, the Greenbelt Plan, and the Oak Ridges Moraine Conservation Plan. The Regional Official Plan recognizes the importance of key economic drivers that will influence the future growth and development of the Region in several hotspot areas. Hotspots in Pickering include: the Highway 401 and 407 corridors, the Urban Growth Centre, and the Federal lands. The 2006 Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe projected the Region of Durham’s population to reach 960,000 and the employment to reach 350,000 by 2031. Based on the Region’s update to its Official Plan to address the 2006 Growth Plan forecasts for Durham, the Region’s population, housing, and employment forecast for the City of Pickering is reflected in the following table. Neighbourhood # Neighbourhood Name 16 Lamoreaux 17 Brock Taunton 18 Mount Pleasant 19 Wilson Meadows 20 Thompson’s Corners 21 Innovation Corridor Pickering’s Forecasted growth 2011 2021 2031 Total Population 110,085 177,915 225,670 Housing 34,860 58,245 77,125 Employment 41,000 67,910 76,720 105 Due to delays in the development of the Seaton Urban Area, and slower than anticipated growth in South Pickering, population and employment growth in Pickering has been significantly slower than what is forecasted in the Regional Official Plan. The following table reflects the actual population and housing numbers for Pickering in 2011, based on Statistics Canada data, as well as a more conservative forecast for 2021 and 2031 based on the City’s Detailed 20 Year Population Forecast (updated in December 2020). Actual Growth & City Detailed 20 Year Forecast 2011 2021 2031 Total Population 88,720 94,655 127,341 Housing 29,330 33,337 46,639 According to data from the City’s Economic Development Office, the employment number in Pickering stands at approximately 36,340 in 2021. The gaps between the projected growth in terms of population, housing and employment between the Region’s numbers and the City’s numbers are highlighted in the two graphs below: 2011 2021 2031 Total Population - Region's Forecasted Growth 110,085 177,915 225,670 Housing - Region's Forecasted Growth 34,860 58,245 77,125 Total Population - Actual Growth and City Detailed 20 year Forecast 88,720 94,655 127,341 Housing - Actual Growth and City Detailed 20 year Forecast 29,330 33,337 46,639 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Projected Growth vs Actual Growth - Population and Housing -City of Pickering 106 A Place to Grow The Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe (2020) extended the timeframe of the Growth Plan to 2051, projecting the Region of Durham’s population to reach 1,300,000 and the employment to reach 460,000 by 2051. At this time, projections for local municipalities to 2051, are still pending. According to Durham Region’s website, the estimated population for the region at the end of December 2019 is 699,460 people. Comparing this figure to the projected population of 1,300,000 for 2051, Durham’s population will have to nearly double over the next 30 years. 5.2 Impact of Growth on Lifecycle Activities By July 1, 2025, the City’s asset management plan must include a discussion on how the Assumptions regarding future changes in population and economic activity informed the preparation of the lifecycle management and financial strategy. Planning for forecasted population growth may require the expansion of existing infrastructure and services. As growth-related assets are constructed or acquired, they should be integrated into the City’s AMP. While the addition of residential units will add to the existing assessment base and offset some of the costs associated with growth, the City will need to review the lifecycle costs of growth-related infrastructure on an ongoing basis. These costs should be considered in long-term funding strategies that 67,910 36,340 2021 Projected Growth vs Actual Growth - Employement -City of Pickering Employment - Region's Forecasted Growth Employment - City's Economic Development Office 107 are designed to, at a minimum, maintain the current level of service. 108 Key Insights 6 Financial Strategy • The City is committing approximately $15,755,000 towards capital projects per year from sustainable revenue sources • Given the annual capital requirement of $41,259,000, there is currently a funding gap of $25,504,000 annually • For tax-funded assets, we recommend increasing tax revenues by 1.8% each year for the next 15 years to achieve a sustainable level of funding 109 6.1 Financial Strategy Overview For an asset management plan (AMP) to be effective and meaningful, it must be integrated with a long-term financial plan (LTFP). The development of a comprehensive LTFP will allow the City of Pickering to identify the financial resources required for sustainable asset management based on existing asset inventories, desired levels of service, and projected growth requirements. This report develops such a financial plan by presenting several scenarios for consideration and culminating with final recommendations. As outlined below, the scenarios presented model different combinations of the following components: 1. The financial requirements for: a. Existing assets b. Existing service levels c. Requirements of contemplated changes in service levels (none identified for this plan) d. Requirements of anticipated growth (none identified for this plan) 2. Use of traditional sources of municipal funds: a. Tax levies b. User fees c. Reserves d. Debt e. Development charges 3. Use of non-traditional sources of municipal funds: a. Reallocated budgets b. Partnerships c. Procurement methods 4. Use of Senior Government Funds: a. Gas tax b. Annual grants Note: Periodic grants are normally not included due to Provincial requirements for firm commitments. However, if moving a specific project forward is wholly dependent on receiving a one-time grant, the replacement cost included in the financial strategy is the net of such grant being received. If the financial plan component results in a funding shortfall, the Province requires the inclusion of a specific plan as to how the impact of the shortfall will be managed. In determining the legitimacy of a funding shortfall, the Province may evaluate a City’s approach to the following: 1. In order to reduce financial requirements, consideration has been given to revising service levels downward. 110 2.All asset management and financial strategies have been considered. For example: a.If a zero-debt policy is in place, is it warranted? If not the use of debt should be considered. b.Do user fees reflect the cost of the applicable service? If not, increased user fees should be considered. 6.1.1 Annual Requirements & Capital Funding Annual Requirements The annual requirements represent the amount the City should allocate annually to each asset category to meet replacement needs as they arise, prevent infrastructure backlogs, and achieve long-term sustainability. In total, the City must allocate approximately $40.27 million annually to address capital expenditures (capex) for the assets included in this AMP. For most asset categories the annual requirement has been calculated based on a “replacement only” scenario, in which capex are only incurred at the construction and replacement of each asset. However, for the Road Corridor and Stormwater System, lifecycle management strategies have been developed to identify capex that are realized through strategic rehabilitation and renewal of the City’s roads and stormwater wet ponds respectively. The development of these strategies allows for a comparison of potential cost 111 avoidance if the strategies were to be implemented. The following table compares two scenarios for the Road Corridor and Stormwater System: 1.Replacement Only Scenario: Based on the assumption that assets deteriorate and – without regularly scheduled maintenance and rehabilitation – are replaced at the end of their service life. 2.Lifecycle Strategy Scenario: Based on the assumption that lifecycle activities are performed at strategic intervals to extend the service life of assets until replacement is required. Asset Category Annual Requirements (Replacement Only) Annual Requirements (Lifecycle Strategy) Difference Road Corridor $21,280,331 $17,519,766 $3,760,565 Stormwater System $4,146,033 $5,131,544 $(985,511) The implementation of a proactive lifecycle strategy for roads leads to a potential annual cost avoidance of $3,760,565 for the Road Corridor. This represents an overall reduction of the annual requirements for the Road Corridor by 17.67%. As the lifecycle strategy scenario represents the lowest cost option available to the City, we have used these annual requirements in the development of the financial strategy. Annual Funding Available Based on a historical analysis of sustainable capital funding sources, the City is committing approximately $15,755,000 towards capital projects per year. Given the annual capital requirement of $40,270,000, there is currently a funding gap of $24,515,000 annually. 112 6.2 Funding Objective We have developed a scenario that would enable the City of Pickering to achieve full funding within 1 to 20 years for the following assets: 1.Tax Funded Assets: Road Corridor, Stormwater System, Bridges & Culverts, Buildings & Facilities, Parks, and Other Infrastructure. Note: For the purposes of this AMP, we have excluded gravel roads since they are a perpetual maintenance asset and end of life replacement calculations do not normally apply. If gravel roads are maintained properly, they can theoretically have a limitless service life. For each scenario developed we have included strategies, where applicable, regarding the use of cost containment and funding opportunities. 113 6.3 Financial Profile: Tax Funded Assets 6.3.1 Current Funding Position The following tables show, by asset category, the City of Pickering’s average annual capex requirements, current funding positions, and funding increases required to achieve full funding on assets funded by taxes. Annual Funding Available Taxes Gas Tax OCIF Reserve Funds Taxes to Reserves Total Available Road Corridor $17,520,000 $65,000 $2,911,000 $880,000 $800,000 $529,000 $5,185,000 $12,335,000 Stormwater System $5,131,000 $0 $0 $0 $700,000 $529,000 $1,229,000 $4,811,000 Bridges & Culverts $1,136,000 $0 $0 $0 $800,000 $529,000 $1,329,000 ($193,000) Buildings & Facilities $9,718,000 $209,000 $0 $0 $300,000 $1,804,000 $2,313,000 $7,405,000 Parks $2,722,000 $27,000 $0 $0 $1,000,000 $1,029,000 $2,056,000 $666,000 Other Infrastructure $4,043,000 $499,000 $0 $0 $0 $3,144,000 $3,643,000 $480,000 $40,270,000 $800,000 $2,911,000 $880,000 $3,600,000 $7,564,000 $15,755,000 $24,515,000 The average annual capex requirement for the above categories is $40.27 million. Annual revenue currently allocated to these assets for capital purposes is $15.755 million leaving an annual deficit of $24.515 million. Put differently, these infrastructure categories are currently funded at 39.12% of their long-term requirements. 6.3.2 Full Funding Requirements In 2021, City of Pickering has budgeted annual tax revenues of $77.971 million. As illustrated in the following table, without consideration of any other sources of revenue or cost containment strategies, full funding would require the following tax change over time: 114 Asset Category Tax Change Required for Full Funding Road Corridor 15.8% Stormwater System 5.0% Bridges & Culverts -0.2% Buildings & Facilities 9.5% Parks 0.9% Other Infrastructure 0.5% 31.5% The following changes in costs and/or revenues over the next number of years should also be considered in the financial strategy: a) Pickering’s debt payments for these asset categories will be decreasing by $3.588 million over the next 20 years. Our recommendations include capturing the above changes and allocating them to the infrastructure deficit outlined above. The table below outlines this concept and presents several options: Without Capturing Changes With Capturing Changes22 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years 5 Years 10 Years 15 Years 20 Years Infrastructure Deficit $24,515,000 $24,515,000 $24,515,000 $24,515,000 $24,515,000 $24,515,000 $24,515,000 $24,515,000 Change in Debt Costs N/A N/A N/A N/A -$1,949,000 -$3,190,000 -$3,487,000 -$3,588,000 Change in OCIF Grants N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Resulting Infrastructure Deficit: 5 10 15 20 5 10 15 20 Tax Increase Required 31.5% 31.5% 31.5% 31.5% 28.9% 27.3% 27.0% 26.8% Annually: 6.3% 3.1% 2.1% 1.6% 5.8% 2.7% 1.8% 1.3% 6.3.3 Financial Strategy Recommendations Considering all the above information, we recommend the 15-year option. This involves full capex funding being achieved over 15 years by: 22 In the 2021 CapEx budget, there are projects totalling $15.568 million that could require debentures not reflected in the table. The City of Pickering has chosen to not include these potential debentures in the analysis due to uncertainty. 115 a) When realized, reallocating the debt cost reductions of $3.487 million to the infrastructure deficit as outlined above. b) Increasing tax revenues by 1.8% each year for the next 15 years solely for the purpose of phasing in full funding to the asset categories covered in this section of the AMP. c) Allocating the current gas tax and OCIF revenue as outlined previously. d) Allocating the scheduled OCIF grant increases to the infrastructure deficit as they occur. e) Reallocating appropriate revenue from categories in a surplus position to those in a deficit position. f) Increasing existing and future infrastructure budgets by the applicable inflation index on an annual basis in addition to the deficit phase-in. g) Increasing tax revenues relative to changes in debt costs from the issuance of any new debt. Notes: 1. As in the past, periodic senior government infrastructure funding will most likely be available during the phase-in period. By Provincial AMP rules, this periodic funding cannot be incorporated into an AMP unless there are firm commitments in place. We have included OCIF formula-based funding, if applicable since this funding is a multi-year commitment23. 2. We realize that raising tax revenues by the amounts recommended above for infrastructure purposes will be very difficult to do. However, considering a longer phase-in window may have even greater consequences in terms of infrastructure failure. 3. There are projects totalling $15.568 million that could require debentures not reflected in the analysis. The City of Pickering has chosen to not include these debentures in the analysis due to uncertainty. If this debt is issued, the resulting debt costs should be considered as noted in the recommendations above. Although this option achieves full funding on an annual basis in 15 years and provides financial sustainability over the period modeled, the recommendations do require prioritizing capital projects to fit the resulting annual funding available. Current data shows a pent-up investment demand of $5,509,000 for the Road Corridor, $607,000 for Parks, $111,366,000 for the Buildings & Facilities, $399,000 for the Stormwater System, and $5,682,000 for Other Infrastructure. 23 The City should take advantage of all available grant funding programs and transfers from other levels of government. While OCIF has historically been considered a sustainable source of funding, the program is currently undergoing review by the provincial government. Depending on the outcome of this review, there may be changes that impact its availability. 116 Prioritizing future projects will require the current data to be replaced by condition- based data. Although our recommendations include no further use of debt, the results of the condition-based analysis may require otherwise. 117 6.4 Use of Debt For reference purposes, the following table outlines the premium paid on a project if financed by debt. For example, a $1M project financed at 3.0%24 over 15 years would result in a 26% premium or $260,000 of increased costs due to interest payments. For simplicity, the table does not consider the time value of money or the effect of inflation on delayed projects. Interest Rate Number of Years Financed 5 10 15 20 25 30 7.0% 22% 42% 65% 89% 115% 142% 6.5% 20% 39% 60% 82% 105% 130% 6.0% 19% 36% 54% 74% 96% 118% 5.5% 17% 33% 49% 67% 86% 106% 5.0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 77% 95% 4.5% 14% 26% 40% 54% 69% 84% 4.0% 12% 23% 35% 47% 60% 73% 3.5% 11% 20% 30% 41% 52% 63% 3.0% 9% 17% 26% 34% 44% 53% 2.5% 8% 14% 21% 28% 36% 43% 2.0% 6% 11% 17% 22% 28% 34% 1.5% 5% 8% 12% 16% 21% 25% 1.0% 3% 6% 8% 11% 14% 16% 0.5% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 0.0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% It should be noted that current interest rates are near all-time lows. Sustainable funding models that include debt need to incorporate the risk of rising interest rates. The following graph shows where historical lending rates have been: 24 Current municipal Infrastructure Ontario rates for 15-year money is 3.2%. 118 A change in 15-year rates from 3% to 6% would change the premium from 26% to 54%. Such a change would have a significant impact on a financial plan. The following tables outline how Pickering has historically used debt for investing in the asset categories as listed. There is currently $17,321,000 of debt outstanding for the assets covered by this AMP with corresponding principal and interest payments of $3,588,000, well within its provincially prescribed maximum of $19,497,000. Use of Debt in the Last Five Years Asset Category Current Debt Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Road Corridor $6,194,000 $1,478,000 $2,128,000 $367,000 $2,565,000 $486,000 Stormwater System $376,000 $0 $174,000 $342,000 $0 $0 Bridges & Culverts $1,074,000 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Buildings & Facilities $6,322,000 $3,608,000 $1,570,000 $1,946,000 $690,000 $191,000 Parks $1,412,000 $0 $0 $0 $1,276,000 $0 Other Infrastructure $1,943,000 $1,390,000 $538,000 $949,000 $0 $0 Total Tax Funded: $17,321,000 $6,476,000 $4,410,000 $3,604,000 $4,531,000 $677,000 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% Historical Prime Business Interest Rate 119 Principle & Interest Payments in the Next Ten Years25 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2031 Road Corridor $1,586,000 $1,351,000 $857,000 $700,000 $623,000 $622,000 $0 Stormwater System $66,000 $66,000 $29,000 $29,000 $29,000 $28,000 $28,000 Bridges & Culverts $98,000 $99,000 $99,000 $100,000 $99,000 $99,000 $0 Buildings & Facilities $1,082,000 $1,059,000 $850,000 $558,000 $558,000 $517,000 $370,000 Parks $270,000 $271,000 $146,000 $146,000 $145,000 $145,000 $0 Other Infrastructure $486,000 $407,000 $354,000 $231,000 $232,000 $228,000 $0 Total Tax Funded: $3,588,000 $3,253,000 $2,335,000 $1,764,000 $1,686,000 $1,639,000 $398,000 The revenue options outlined in this plan allow Pickering to fully fund its long-term infrastructure requirements without further use of debt. 25 In the 2021 CapEx budget, there are projects totalling $15.568 million that could require debentures not reflected in the table. The City of Pickering has chosen to not include these potential debentures in the analysis due to uncertainty. 120 6.5 Use of Reserves 6.5.1 Available Reserves Reserves play a critical role in long-term financial planning. The benefits of having reserves available for infrastructure planning include: a) The ability to stabilize tax rates when dealing with variable and sometimes uncontrollable factors b) Financing one-time or short-term investments c) Accumulating the funding for significant future infrastructure investments d) Managing the use of debt e) Normalizing infrastructure funding requirement By asset category, the table below outlines the details of the reserves currently available to Pickering. Asset Category Balance on December 31, 2020 Road Corridor $12,025,000 Stormwater System $4,056,000 Bridges & Culverts $1,975,000 Buildings & Facilities $16,632,000 Parks $11,452,000 Other Infrastructure $6,418,000 Total Tax Funded: $52,558,000 There is considerable debate in the municipal sector as to the appropriate level of reserves that a City should have on hand. There is no clear guideline that has gained wide acceptance. Factors that municipalities should consider when determining their capital reserve requirements include: a) Breadth of services provided b) Age and condition of infrastructure c) Use and level of debt d) Economic conditions and outlook e) Internal reserve and debt policies. These reserves are available for use by applicable asset categories during the phase-in period to full funding. This coupled with Pickering’s judicious use of debt in the past, allows the scenarios to assume that, if required, available reserves and debt capacity 121 can be used for high priority and emergency infrastructure investments in the short- to medium-term. 6.5.2 Recommendation In 2025, Ontario Regulation 588/17 will require Pickering to integrate proposed levels of service for all asset categories in its asset management plan update. We recommend that future planning should reflect adjustments to service levels and their impacts on reserve balances. 122 Key Insights 7 Appendices • Appendix A identifies projected 10-year capital requirements for each asset category • Appendix B includes several maps that have been used to visualize the current level of service • Appendix C identifies the criteria used to calculate risk for each asset category • Appendix D provides additional guidance on the development of a condition assessment program • Appendix E identifies criteria used in the FCI condition rating 123 Appendix A: 10-Year Capital Requirements The following tables identify the capital cost requirements for each of the next 10 years in order to meet projected capital requirements and maintain the current level of service. Road Corridor Segment Sub-Segment Backlog 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Roads Arterial $0 $864,600 $251,458 $197,948 $0 $172,726 $535,585 $0 $0 $881,388 $1,053,613 Roads Collector $0 $0 $851,178 $2,199,505 $700,718 $1,207,628 $1,225,800 $529,350 $1,050,219 $1,082,056 $698,565 Roads Local $9,050,539 $15,982,815 $7,139,108 $12,277,252 $13,576,039 $18,160,343 $13,439,686 $14,674,893 $10,682,836 $32,580,485 $19,113,865 Roadside Appurtenances Broadband $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Roadside Appurtenances Guide Rails $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Roadside Appurtenances Retaining Walls $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Sidewalks Sidewalks $974,763 $974,763 $0 $0 $63,426 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $37,059 Streetlights Head Luminaires $78,284 $7,169 $157,886 $157,049 $171,833 $56,156 $45,271 $408,143 $60,424 $0 $0 Streetlights Poles & Assemblies $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $44,489,981 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Controllers $0 $0 $0 $0 $395,064 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $324,889 Traffic & Pedestrian Signals Infrastructure $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $2,530,333 $0 $0 $0 $0 Total: $10,103,587 $16,854,584 $8,399,630 $14,895,181 $14,843,653 $64,086,833 $17,776,675 $15,612,386 $11,793,478 $34,580,988 $21,329,021 124 Stormwater System Segment Sub- Segment Backlog 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Drainage Channels Drainage Channels $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Storm Sewers Catch Basin and Lead $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $18,363,330 $1,136,403 $0 $0 Storm Sewers Clean Water Collectors $53,850 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Storm Sewers Inlet/Outlet Structures $77,850 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Storm Sewers Maintenance Holes $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $30,465 $0 Storm Sewers Oil Grit Separators $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $12,406,168 $130,477 $0 Storm Sewers Service Connections $279,544 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Storm Sewers Storm Sewer Mains $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Stormwater Ponds Dry Ponds $0 $384,300 $2,182,107 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Stormwater Ponds Wet Ponds $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Total: $411,244 $384,300 $2,182,107 $0 $0 $0 $0 $18,363,330 $13,542,571 $160,943 $0 Bridges & Culverts Segment Backlog 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Bridges $2,954,674 $4,176,000 $1,626,000 $1,804,000 $456,000 $1,276,000 $0 $0 $2,640,000 $0 $0 Structural Culverts $2,045,326 $2,376,000 $1,014,729 $102,000 $668,000 $1,342,149 $0 $0 $649,853 $0 $0 Total: $5,000,000 $6,552,000 $2,640,729 $1,906,000 $1,124,000 $2,618,149 $0 $0 $3,289,853 $0 $0 125 Buildings & Facilities Segment Backlog 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Civic Complex $1,745,570 $2,927,131 $635,007 $976,641 $2,992,941 $507,449 $1,782,161 $154,076 $2,332,705 $1,147,054 $845,457 Community & Cultural Buildings $2,093,261 $1,880,121 $644,189 $3,468,097 $2,909,771 $1,890,277 $3,999,238 $896,067 $2,440,570 $1,007,890 $1,200,926 Fire Services $536,383 $372,671 $217,616 $228,326 $1,942,769 $366,058 $327,939 $1,762,211 $61,402 $231,743 $281,377 Operations Centre $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $1,102,185 $163,179 $0 Recreation, Pools & Arenas $8,587,290 $1,887,036 $5,361,024 $4,370,121 $4,199,635 $4,800,070 $5,519,616 $2,827,992 $2,416,316 $8,083,531 $3,052,205 Total: $12,962,503 $7,066,960 $6,857,835 $9,043,185 $12,045,116 $7,563,854 $11,628,953 $5,640,347 $8,353,178 $10,633,397 $5,379,965 126 Parks Segment Sub-Segment Backlog 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Active Recreation Facilities Playground Equipment $9,359 $0 $0 $318,913 $0 $0 $3,327,614 $0 $0 $3,340,356 $0 Active Recreation Facilities Sport Playing Surfaces $467,181 $1,098,921 $0 $641,470 $0 $1,733,290 $1,260,840 $0 $1,229,773 $11,489,488 $0 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Buildings $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $229,439 $0 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Electrical/Lighting $157,651 $0 $75,753 $145,067 $0 $0 $13,707 $812,401 $0 $108,294 $209,542 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Furniture $0 $14,272 $0 $0 $90,388 $0 $127,110 $0 $39,094 $474,665 $0 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Site Structures $0 $198,000 $0 $238,000 $0 $0 $46,919 $0 $67,447 $117,856 $0 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Subsurface Infrastructure $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $10,533 $0 Amenities, Furniture & Utilities Waterfront Infrastructure $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $109,888 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Vehicular & Pedestrian Networks Parking Lots & Internal Roads $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $121,202 $931,481 $0 Vehicular & Pedestrian Networks Pedestrian Corridors $0 $68,480 $0 $0 $0 $629,415 $0 $17,999 $148,163 $1,262,556 $10,378 Total: $634,191 $1,379,673 $75,753 $1,343,451 $90,388 $2,472,592 $4,776,190 $830,400 $1,605,678 $17,964,669 $219,920 127 Other Infrastructure Segment Sub- Segment Backlog 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Furniture & Fixtures Furniture & Fixtures $161,095 $0 $30,928 $0 $31,076 $86,976 $0 $149,796 $134,726 $307,337 $90,276 Information Technology Information Technology $874,945 $416,713 $320,351 $216,314 $165,517 $920,482 $378,955 $325,045 $678,780 $1,433,927 $283,494 Library Collection Materials Library Collection Materials $0 $404,723 $430,800 $419,778 $324,082 $444,563 $431,257 $374,649 $398,615 $541,026 $538,034 Machinery & Equipment Major $1,149,139 $90,569 $668,816 $553,739 $220,172 $785,431 $471,510 $749,869 $610,796 $1,471,081 $161,046 Machinery & Equipment Minor $1,820,184 $416,546 $420,272 $473,292 $231,814 $1,113,831 $998,157 $721,958 $603,045 $1,093,964 $1,073,573 Vehicles Fire Vehicles $287,737 $1,367,843 $0 $0 $0 $1,430,690 $1,907,608 $0 $1,140,962 $0 $0 Vehicles Vehicles $2,119,693 $295,382 $873,691 $678,755 $509,295 $1,442,734 $929,280 $1,120,784 $2,780,725 $1,949,259 $2,304,506 Vehicles Major $1,149,139 $90,569 $668,816 $553,739 $220,172 $785,431 $471,510 $749,869 $610,796 $1,471,081 $161,046 Total: $6,412,792 $2,991,777 $2,744,859 $2,341,878 $1,481,957 $6,224,707 $5,116,767 $3,442,101 $6,347,648 $6,796,594 $4,450,929 128 Appendix B: Level of Service Maps Dunbarton Rd Culvert (BCI Rating 95) 129 Radom St Culvert (BCI Rating 56.5) 130 Palmer Bridge (BCI Rating 86.6) 131 Michell Bridge (BCI Rating 57.1) 132 Road Network Classification Map Part 1 133 Road Network Classification Map Part 2 134 Road Network Adequacy Map Part 1 135 Road Network Adequacy Map Part 2 136 Sidewalk Network Classification Map Part 1 137 Sidewalk Network Classification Map Part 2 138 Stormwater System Classification Map Part 1 139 Stormwater System Classification Map Part 2 140 Parks Inventory Map 141 Appendix C: Risk Rating Criteria Probability of Failure Asset Category Risk Criteria Criteria Weighting Value/Range Probability of Failure Score Road Corridor Condition 100% 0-40 5 Road Corridor Condition 100% 41-60 4 Road Corridor Condition 100% 61-75 3 Road Corridor Condition 100% 75-90 2 Road Corridor Condition 100% 91-100 1 Stormwater System (Main) Condition 90% 0-20 5 Stormwater System (Main) Condition 90% 21-40 4 Stormwater System (Main) Condition 90% 41-60 3 Stormwater System (Main) Condition 90% 61-80 2 Stormwater System (Main) Condition 90% 80-100 1 Stormwater System (Main) Pipe Material 10% Concrete 2 Stormwater System (Main) Pipe Material 10% Steel 3 All Other Assets Condition 100% 0-20 5 All Other Assets Condition 100% 21-40 4 All Other Assets Condition 100% 41-60 3 All Other Assets Condition 100% 61-80 2 All Other Assets Condition 100% 81-100 1 142 Consequence of Failure Asset Category Risk Classification Risk Criteria Road Corridor Economic (100%) Surface Material (20%) Road Corridor Economic (100%) Design Class (25%) Road Corridor Economic (100%) AADT Range (35%) Road Corridor Economic (100%) Roadside Environment (20%) Stormwater System (Main) Economic (100%) Replacement Cost (100%) All Other Assets Economic (100%) Replacement Cost (100%) 143 Appendix D: Condition Assessment Guidelines The foundation of good asset management practice is accurate and reliable data on the current condition of infrastructure. Assessing the condition of an asset at a single point in time allows staff to have a better understanding of the probability of asset failure due to deteriorating condition. Condition data is vital to the development of data-driven asset management strategies. Without accurate and reliable asset data, there may be little confidence in asset management decision-making which can lead to premature asset failure, service disruption and suboptimal investment strategies. To prevent these outcomes, the City’s condition assessment strategy should outline several key considerations, including: The role of asset condition data in decision-making Guidelines for the collection of asset condition data A schedule for how regularly asset condition data should be collected Role of Asset Condition Data The goal of collecting asset condition data is to ensure that data is available to inform maintenance and renewal programs required to meet the desired level of service. Accurate and reliable condition data allows municipal staff to determine the remaining service life of assets, and identify the most cost-effective approach to deterioration, whether it involves extending the life of the asset through remedial efforts or determining that replacement is required to avoid asset failure. In addition to the optimization of lifecycle management strategies, asset condition data also impacts the City’s risk management and financial strategies. Assessed condition is a key variable in the determination of an asset’s probability of failure. With a strong understanding of the probability of failure across the entire asset portfolio, the City can develop strategies to mitigate both the probability and consequences of asset failure and service disruption. Furthermore, with condition-based determinations of future capital expenditures, the City can develop long-term financial strategies with higher accuracy and reliability. Guidelines for Condition Assessment Whether completed by external consultants or internal staff, condition assessments should be completed in a structured and repeatable fashion, according to consistent and objective assessment criteria. Without proper guidelines for the completion of condition assessments there can be little confidence in the validity of condition data and asset management strategies based on this data. 144 Condition assessments must include a quantitative or qualitative assessment of the current condition of the asset, collected according to specified condition rating criteria, in a format that can be used for asset management decision-making. As a result, it is important that staff adequately define the condition rating criteria that should be used and the assets that require a discrete condition rating. When engaging with external consultants to complete condition assessments, it is critical that these details are communicated as part of the contractual terms of the project. There are many options available to the City to complete condition assessments. In some cases, external consultants may need to be engaged to complete detailed technical assessments of infrastructure. In other cases, internal staff may have sufficient expertise or training to complete condition assessments. Developing a Condition Assessment Schedule Condition assessments and general data collection can be both time-consuming and resource intensive. It is not necessarily an effective strategy to collect assessed condition data across the entire asset inventory. Instead, the City should prioritize the collection of assessed condition data based on the anticipated value of this data in decision-making. The International Infrastructure Management Manual (IIMM) identifies four key criteria to consider when making this determination: 1. Relevance: every data item must have a direct influence on the output that is required 2. Appropriateness: the volume of data and the frequency of updating should align with the stage in the assets life and the service being provided 3. Reliability: the data should be sufficiently accurate, have sufficient spatial coverage and be appropriately complete and current 4. Affordability: the data should be affordable to collect and maintain 145 Appendix E: Facility Condition Index FCI Condition Rating scale Condition Rating Less than .10 Excellent Less than .20 Good Less than .30 Fair Less than .40 Poor Above .40 Disposal 1 Français Infrastructure for Jobs and Prosperity Act, 2015 ONTARIO REGULATION 588/17 ASSET MANAGEMENT PLANNING FOR MUNICIPAL INFRASTRUCTURE Consolidation Period: From March 15, 2021 to the e-Laws currency date. Las amendment: 193/21. Legislative History: 193/21. This is the English version of a bilingual regulation. CONTENTS INTERPRETATION AND APPLICATION 1. Definitions 2. Application STRATEGIC ASSET MANAGEMENT POLICIES 3. Strategic asset management policy 4. Update of asset management policy ASSET MANAGEMENT PLANS 5. Asset management plans, current levels of service 6. Asset management plans, proposed levels of service 7. Update of asset management plans 8. Endorsement and approval required 9. Annual review of asset management planning progress 10. Public availability Table 1 Water assets Table 2 Wastewater assets Table 3 Stormwater management assets Table 4 Roads Table 5 Bridges and culverts INTERPRETATION AND APPLICATION Definitions 1.(1) In this Regulation, “asset category” means a category of municipal infrastructure assets that is, (a)an aggregate of assets described in each of clauses (a) to (e) of the definition of core municipal infrastructure asset, or (b)composed of any other aggregate of municipal infrastructure assets that provide the same type of service; (“catégorie de biens”) “core municipal infrastructure asset” means any municipal infrastructure asset that is a, (a)water asset that relates to the collection, production, treatment, storage, supply or distribution of water, (b)wastewater asset that relates to the collection, transmission, treatment or disposal of wastewater, including anywastewater asset that from time to time manages stormwater, (c)stormwater management asset that relates to the collection, transmission, treatment, retention, infiltration, control or disposal of stormwater, (d)road, or (e)bridge or culvert; (“bien d’infrastructure municipale essentiel”) “ecological functions” has the same meaning as in Ontario Regulation 140/02 (Oak Ridges Moraine Conservation Plan) made under the Oak Ridges Moraine Conservation Act, 2001; (“fonctions écologiques”) “green infrastructure asset” means an infrastructure asset consisting of natural or human-made elements that provide ecological and hydrological functions and processes and includes natural heritage features and systems, parklands, Attachment #2 to Report #FIN 14-21 2 stormwater management systems, street trees, urban forests, natural channels, permeable surfaces and green roofs; (“bien d’infrastructure verte”) “hydrological functions” has the same meaning as in Ontario Regulation 140/02; (“fonctions hydrologiques”) “joint municipal water board” means a joint board established in accordance with a transfer order made under the Municipal Water and Sewage Transfer Act, 1997; (“conseil mixte de gestion municipale des eaux”) “lifecycle activities” means activities undertaken with respect to a municipal infrastructure asset over its service life, including constructing, maintaining, renewing, operating and decommissioning, and all engineering and design work associated with those activities; (“activités relatives au cycle de vie”) “municipal infrastructure asset” means an infrastructure asset, including a green infrastructure asset, directly owned by a municipality or included on the consolidated financial statements of a municipality, but does not include an infrastructure asset that is managed by a joint municipal water board; (“bien d’infrastructure municipale”) “municipality” has the same meaning as in the Municipal Act, 2001; (“municipalité”) “operating costs” means the aggregate of costs, including energy costs, of operating a municipal infrastructure asset over its service life; (“frais d’exploitation”) “service life” means the total period during which a municipal infrastructure asset is in use or is available to be used; (“durée de vie”) “significant operating costs” means, where the operating costs with respect to all municipal infrastructure assets within an asset category are in excess of a threshold amount set by the municipality, the total amount of those operating costs. (“frais d’exploitation importants”) (2) In Tables 1 and 2, “connection-days” means the number of properties connected to a municipal system that are affected by a service issue, multiplied by the number of days on which those properties are affected by the service issue. (“jours-branchements”) (3) In Table 4, “arterial roads” means Class 1 and Class 2 highways as determined under the Table to section 1 of Ontario Regulation 239/02 (Minimum Maintenance Standards for Municipal Highways) made under the Municipal Act, 2001; (“artères”) “collector roads” means Class 3 and Class 4 highways as determined under the Table to section 1 of Ontario Regulation 239/02; (“routes collectrices”) “lane-kilometre” means a kilometre-long segment of roadway that is a single lane in width; (“kilomètre de voie”) “local roads” means Class 5 and Class 6 highways as determined under the Table to section 1 of Ontario Regulation 239/02. (“routes locales”) (4) In Table 5, “Ontario Structure Inspection Manual” means the Ontario Structure Inspection Manual (OSIM), published by the Ministry of Transportation and dated October 2000 (revised November 2003 and April 2008) and available on a Government of Ontario website; (“manuel d’inspection des structures de l’Ontario”) “structural culvert” has the meaning set out for “culvert (structural)” in the Ontario Structure Inspection Manual. (“ponceau structurel”) Application 2. For the purposes of section 6 of the Act, every municipality is prescribed as a broader public sector entity to which that section applies. STRATEGIC ASSET MANAGEMENT POLICIES Strategic asset management policy 3. (1) Every municipality shall prepare a strategic asset management policy that includes the following: 1. Any of the municipality’s goals, policies or plans that are supported by its asset management plan. 2. The process by which the asset management plan is to be considered in the development of the municipality’s budget or of any long-term financial plans of the municipality that take into account municipal infrastructure assets. 3. The municipality’s approach to continuous improvement and adoption of appropriate practices regarding asset management planning. 4. The principles to be followed by the municipality in its asset management planning, which must include the principles set out in section 3 of the Act. 3 5. The municipality’s commitment to consider, as part of its asset management planning, i. the actions that may be required to address the vulnerabilities that may be caused by climate change to the municipality’s infrastructure assets, in respect of such matters as, A. operations, such as increased maintenance schedules, B. levels of service, and C. lifecycle management, ii. the anticipated costs that could arise from the vulnerabilities described in subparagraph i, iii. adaptation opportunities that may be undertaken to manage the vulnerabilities described in subparagraph i, iv. mitigation approaches to climate change, such as greenhouse gas emission reduction goals and targets, and v. disaster planning and contingency funding. 6. A process to ensure that the municipality’s asset management planning is aligned with any of the following financial plans: i. Financial plans related to the municipality’s water assets including any financial plans prepared under the Safe Drinking Water Act, 2002. ii. Financial plans related to the municipality’s wastewater assets. 7. A process to ensure that the municipality’s asset management planning is aligned with Ontario’s land-use planning framework, including any relevant policy statements issued under subsection 3 (1) of the Planning Act, any provincial plans as defined in the Planning Act and the municipality’s official plan. 8. An explanation of the capitalization thresholds used to determine which assets are to be included in the municipality’s asset management plan and how the thresholds compare to those in the municipality’s tangible capital asset policy, if it has one. 9. The municipality’s commitment to coordinate planning for asset management, where municipal infrastructure assets connect or are interrelated with those of its upper-tier municipality, neighbouring municipalities or jointly-owned municipal bodies. 10. The persons responsible for the municipality’s asset management planning, including the executive lead. 11. An explanation of the municipal council’s involvement in the municipality’s asset management planning. 12. The municipality’s commitment to provide opportunities for municipal residents and other interested parties to provide input into the municipality’s asset management planning. (2) For the purposes of this section, “capitalization threshold” is the value of a municipal infrastructure asset at or above which a municipality will capitalize the value of it and below which it will expense the value of it. (“seuil de capitalisation”) Update of asset management policy 4. Every municipality shall prepare its first strategic asset management policy by July 1, 2019 and shall review and, if necessary, update it at least every five years. ASSET MANAGEMENT PLANS Asset management plans, current levels of service 5. (1) Every municipality shall prepare an asset management plan in respect of its core municipal infrastructure assets on or before July 1, 2022, and in respect of all of its other municipal infrastructure assets on or before July 1, 2024. O. Reg. 193/21, s. 1. (2) A municipality’s asset management plan must include the following: 1. For each asset category, the current levels of service being provided, determined in accordance with the following qualitative descriptions and technical metrics and based on data from at most the two calendar years prior to the year in which all information required under this section is included in the asset management plan: i. With respect to core municipal infrastructure assets, the qualitative descriptions set out in Column 2 and the technical metrics set out in Column 3 of Table 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5, as the case may be. ii. With respect to all other municipal infrastructure assets, the qualitative descriptions and technical metrics established by the municipality. 4 2. The current performance of each asset category, determined in accordance with the performance measures established by the municipality, such as those that would measure energy usage and operating efficiency, and based on data from at most two calendar years prior to the year in which all information required under this section is included in the asset management plan. 3. For each asset category, i. a summary of the assets in the category, ii. the replacement cost of the assets in the category, iii. the average age of the assets in the category, determined by assessing the average age of the components of the assets, iv. the information available on the condition of the assets in the category, and v. a description of the municipality’s approach to assessing the condition of the assets in the category, based on recognized and generally accepted good engineering practices where appropriate. 4. For each asset category, the lifecycle activities that would need to be undertaken to maintain the current levels of service as described in paragraph 1 for each of the 10 years following the year for which the current levels of service under paragraph 1 are determined and the costs of providing those activities based on an assessment of the following: i. The full lifecycle of the assets. ii. The options for which lifecycle activities could potentially be undertaken to maintain the current levels of service. iii. The risks associated with the options referred to in subparagraph ii. iv. The lifecycle activities referred to in subparagraph ii that can be undertaken for the lowest cost to maintain the current levels of service. 5. For municipalities with a population of less than 25,000, as reported by Statistics Canada in the most recent official census, the following: i. A description of assumptions regarding future changes in population or economic activity. ii. How the assumptions referred to in subparagraph i relate to the information required by paragraph 4. 6. For municipalities with a population of 25,000 or more, as reported by Statistics Canada in the most recent official census, the following: i. With respect to municipalities in the Greater Golden Horseshoe growth plan area, if the population and employment forecasts for the municipality are set out in Schedule 3 or 7 to the 2017 Growth Plan, those forecasts. ii. With respect to lower-tier municipalities in the Greater Golden Horseshoe growth plan area, if the population and employment forecasts for the municipality are not set out in Schedule 7 to the 2017 Growth Plan, the portion of the forecasts allocated to the lower-tier municipality in the official plan of the upper-tier municipality of which it is a part. iii. With respect to upper-tier municipalities or single-tier municipalities outside of the Greater Golden Horseshoe growth plan area, the population and employment forecasts for the municipality that are set out in its official plan. iv. With respect to lower-tier municipalities outside of the Greater Golden Horseshoe growth plan area, the population and employment forecasts for the lower-tier municipality that are set out in the official plan of the upper-tier municipality of which it is a part. v. If, with respect to any municipality referred to in subparagraph iii or iv, the population and employment forecasts for the municipality cannot be determined as set out in those subparagraphs, a description of assumptions regarding future changes in population or economic activity. vi. For each of the 10 years following the year for which the current levels of service under paragraph 1 are determined, the estimated capital expenditures and significant operating costs related to the lifecycle activities required to maintain the current levels of service in order to accommodate projected increases in demand caused by growth, including estimated capital expenditures and significant operating costs related to new construction or to upgrading of existing municipal infrastructure assets. O. Reg. 588/17, s. 5 (2). (3) Every asset management plan must indicate how all background information and reports upon which the information required by paragraph 3 of subsection (2) is based will be made available to the public. O. Reg. 588/17, s. 5 (3). (4) In this section, 5 “2017 Growth Plan” means the Growth Plan for the Greater Golden Horseshoe, 2017 that was approved under subsection 7 (6) of the Places to Grow Act, 2005 on May 16, 2017 and came into effect on July 1, 2017; (“Plan de croissance de 2017”) “Greater Golden Horseshoe growth plan area” means the area designated by section 2 of Ontario Regulation 416/05 (Growth Plan Areas) made under the Places to Grow Act, 2005. (“zone de croissance planifiée de la région élargie du Golden Horseshoe”) O. Reg. 588/17, s. 5 (4). Asset management plans, proposed levels of service 6. (1) Subject to subsection (2), on or before July 1, 2025, every asset management plan prepared under section 5 must include the following additional information: 1. For each asset category, the levels of service that the municipality proposes to provide for each of the 10 years following the year in which all information required under section 5 and this section is included in the asset management plan, determined in accordance with the following qualitative descriptions and technical metrics: i. With respect to core municipal infrastructure assets, the qualitative descriptions set out in Column 2 and the technical metrics set out in Column 3 of Table 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5, as the case may be. ii. With respect to all other municipal infrastructure assets, the qualitative descriptions and technical metrics established by the municipality. 2. An explanation of why the proposed levels of service under paragraph 1 are appropriate for the municipality, based on an assessment of the following: i. The options for the proposed levels of service and the risks associated with those options to the long term sustainability of the municipality. ii. How the proposed levels of service differ from the current levels of service set out under paragraph 1 of subsection 5 (2). iii. Whether the proposed levels of service are achievable. iv. The municipality’s ability to afford the proposed levels of service. 3. The proposed performance of each asset category for each year of the 10-year period referred to in paragraph 1, determined in accordance with the performance measures established by the municipality, such as those that would measure energy usage and operating efficiency. 4. A lifecycle management and financial strategy that sets out the following information with respect to the assets in each asset category for the 10-year period referred to in paragraph 1: i. An identification of the lifecycle activities that would need to be undertaken to provide the proposed levels of service described in paragraph 1, based on an assessment of the following: A. The full lifecycle of the assets. B. The options for which lifecycle activities could potentially be undertaken to achieve the proposed levels of service. C. The risks associated with the options referred to in sub-subparagraph B. D. The lifecycle activities referred to in sub-subparagraph B that can be undertaken for the lowest cost to achieve the proposed levels of service. ii. An estimate of the annual costs for each of the 10 years of undertaking the lifecycle activities identified in subparagraph i, separated into capital expenditures and significant operating costs. iii. An identification of the annual funding projected to be available to undertake lifecycle activities and an explanation of the options examined by the municipality to maximize the funding projected to be available. iv. If, based on the funding projected to be available, the municipality identifies a funding shortfall for the lifecycle activities identified in subparagraph i, A. an identification of the lifecycle activities, whether set out in subparagraph i or otherwise, that the municipality will undertake, and B. if applicable, an explanation of how the municipality will manage the risks associated with not undertaking any of the lifecycle activities identified in subparagraph i. 5. For municipalities with a population of less than 25,000, as reported by Statistics Canada in the most recent official census, a discussion of how the assumptions regarding future changes in population and economic activity, set out in subparagraph 5 i of subsection 5 (2), informed the preparation of the lifecycle management and financial strategy referred to in paragraph 4 of this subsection. 6 6. For municipalities with a population of 25,000 or more, as reported by Statistics Canada in the most recent official census, i. the estimated capital expenditures and significant operating costs to achieve the proposed levels of service as described in paragraph 1 in order to accommodate projected increases in demand caused by population and employment growth, as set out in the forecasts or assumptions referred to in paragraph 6 of subsection 5 (2), including estimated capital expenditures and significant operating costs related to new construction or to upgrading of existing municipal infrastructure assets, ii. the funding projected to be available, by source, as a result of increased population and economic activity, and iii. an overview of the risks associated with implementation of the asset management plan and any actions that would be proposed in response to those risks. 7. An explanation of any other key assumptions underlying the plan that have not previously been explained. O. Reg. 588/17, s. 6 (1); O. Reg. 193/21, s. 2 (1). (2) With respect to an asset management plan prepared under section 5 on or before July 1, 2022, if the additional information required under this section is not included before July 1, 2024, the municipality shall, before including the additional information, update the current levels of service set out under paragraph 1 of subsection 5 (2) and the current performance measures set out under paragraph 2 of subsection 5 (2) based on data from the two most recent calendar years. O. Reg. 193/21, s. 2 (2). Update of asset management plans 7. (1) Every municipality shall review and update its asset management plan at least five years after the year in which the plan is completed under section 6 and at least every five years thereafter. (2) The updated asset management plan must comply with the requirements set out under paragraphs 1, 2 and 3 and subparagraphs 5 i and 6 i, ii, iii, iv and v of subsection 5 (2), subsection 5 (3) and paragraphs 1 to 7 of subsection 6 (1). Endorsement and approval required 8. Every asset management plan prepared under section 5 or 6, or updated under section 7, must be, (a) endorsed by the executive lead of the municipality; and (b) approved by a resolution passed by the municipal council. Annual review of asset management planning progress 9. (1) Every municipal council shall conduct an annual review of its asset management progress on or before July 1 in each year, starting the year after the municipality’s asset management plan is completed under section 6. (2) The annual review must address, (a) the municipality’s progress in implementing its asset management plan; (b) any factors impeding the municipality’s ability to implement its asset management plan; and (c) a strategy to address the factors described in clause (b). Public availability 10. Every municipality shall post its current strategic asset management policy and asset management plan on a website that is available to the public, and shall provide a copy of the policy and plan to any person who requests it. TABLE 1 WATER ASSETS Column 1 Service attribute Column 2 Community levels of service (qualitative descriptions) Column 3 Technical levels of service (technical metrics) Scope 1. Description, which may include maps, of the user groups or areas of the municipality that are connected to the municipal water system. 2. Description, which may include maps, of the user groups or areas of the municipality that have fire flow. 1. Percentage of properties connected to the municipal water system. 2. Percentage of properties where fire flow is available. Reliability Description of boil water advisories and service interruptions. 1. The number of connection-days per year where a boil water advisory notice is in place compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal water system. 2. The number of connection-days per year due to water main breaks compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal water system. 7 TABLE 2 WASTEWATER ASSETS Column 1 Service attribute Column 2 Community levels of service (qualitative descriptions) Column 3 Technical levels of service (technical metrics) Scope Description, which may include maps, of the user groups or areas of the municipality that are connected to the municipal wastewater system. Percentage of properties connected to the municipal wastewater system. Reliability 1. Description of how combined sewers in the municipal wastewater system are designed with overflow structures in place which allow overflow during storm events to prevent backups into homes. 2. Description of the frequency and volume of overflows in combined sewers in the municipal wastewater system that occur in habitable areas or beaches. 3. Description of how stormwater can get into sanitary sewers in the municipal wastewater system, causing sewage to overflow into streets or backup into homes. 4. Description of how sanitary sewers in the municipal wastewater system are designed to be resilient to avoid events described in paragraph 3. 5. Description of the effluent that is discharged from sewage treatment plants in the municipal wastewater system. 1. The number of events per year where combined sewer flow in the municipal wastewater system exceeds system capacity compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal wastewater system. 2. The number of connection-days per year due to wastewater backups compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal wastewater system. 3. The number of effluent violations per year due to wastewater discharge compared to the total number of properties connected to the municipal wastewater system. TABLE 3 STORMWATER MANAGEMENT ASSETS Column 1 Service attribute Column 2 Community levels of service (qualitative descriptions) Column 3 Technical levels of service (technical metrics) Scope Description, which may include maps, of the user groups or areas of the municipality that are protected from flooding, including the extent of the protection provided by the municipal stormwater management system. 1. Percentage of properties in municipality resilient to a 100-year storm. 2. Percentage of the municipal stormwater management system resilient to a 5-year storm. TABLE 4 ROADS Column 1 Service attribute Column 2 Community levels of service (qualitative descriptions) Column 3 Technical levels of service (technical metrics) Scope Description, which may include maps, of the road network in the municipality and its level of connectivity. Number of lane-kilometres of each of arterial roads, collector roads and local roads as a proportion of square kilometres of land area of the municipality. Quality Description or images that illustrate the different levels of road class pavement condition. 1. For paved roads in the municipality, the average pavement condition index value. 2. For unpaved roads in the municipality, the average surface condition (e.g. excellent, good, fair or poor). TABLE 5 BRIDGES AND CULVERTS Column 1 Service attribute Column 2 Community levels of service (qualitative descriptions) Column 3 Technical levels of service (technical metrics) Scope Description of the traffic that is supported by municipal bridges (e.g., heavy transport vehicles, motor vehicles, emergency vehicles, pedestrians, cyclists). Percentage of bridges in the municipality with loading or dimensional restrictions. Quality 1. Description or images of the condition of bridges and how this would affect use of the bridges. 2. Description or images of the condition of culverts and how this would affect use of the culverts. 1. For bridges in the municipality, the average bridge condition index value. 2. For structural culverts in the municipality, the average bridge condition index value. 11. OMITTED (PROVIDES FOR COMING INTO FORCE OF PROVISIONS OF THIS REGULATION). 8 Français Back to top